Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sabadell FC v Córdoba

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-07 18:30 UTC

Score final : Sabadell FC 3–2 Córdoba

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sabadell FC (Local)

Prévision 42.50%2.35cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.983%
Kelly -1.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.80%42.46%42.51%44.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.942.142.152.3051.55%46.68%46.51%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Córdoba (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.07%3.56cote équitable
EV -0.902%
Avantage -0.255%
Kelly -0.356%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.35%28.14%28.07%29.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.283.303.5332.26%30.47%30.30%28.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.43%3.40cote équitable
EV +0.067%
Avantage +0.020%
Kelly +0.028%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.83%29.40%29.42%30.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.133.153.4034.72%31.95%31.75%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sabadell FC (Local) : 42.50% ; Córdoba (Visiteur) : 28.07% ; Match nul : 29.43%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.398. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.400, soit une espérance positive de +0.067%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -4.39%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV +0.067%E +0.020%K +0.028%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 18:08
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.39%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 18:15
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.91%E -4.67%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.91%E -4.67%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.91%E -4.67%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.91%E -4.67%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.91%E -4.67%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.24%E -2.35%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.76%E -5.12%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 18:05
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.88%E -6.29%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 18:05
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.25%EV -2.69%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.41%EV -0.902%E -0.255%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.33%EV -6.11%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-07 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.77%EV -7.36%E -3.38%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -6.24%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.41%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -4.39%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 18:25
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:05
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:05
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -12.46%E -6.05%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 17:50
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -12.46%E -6.05%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 17:50
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -12.46%E -6.05%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 17:50
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -12.46%E -6.05%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.28%EV -11.61%E -5.58%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 18:03
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.76%E -5.12%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.74%E -0.498%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 18:25
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 18:15
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 18:23
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 18:25
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.76%E -5.12%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -14.16%E -7.01%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -14.16%E -7.01%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -14.16%E -7.01%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -15.01%E -7.50%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-07 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -2.26%E -0.983%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -10.23%E -3.36%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -2.26%E -0.983%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -10.23%E -3.36%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 18:25
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 18:15
Bovada🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.95%EV -6.94%E -3.17%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:20
BetAnything🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.95%EV -6.94%E -3.17%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.20%EV -17.56%E -9.05%K -18.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.22%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.58%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-07 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.88%E -6.29%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -13.18%E -4.47%K -6.76%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-07 18:15
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.65%E -5.05%K -7.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 18:15
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.65%E -5.05%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -15.24%E -5.29%K -8.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 18:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%0.5%2026-09-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-09-07 18:25
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-09-07 18:25
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-09-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-09-07 18:25
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-09-07 18:25