Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sabadell FC v Almería

Início: 2026-08-29 15:00 UTC

Final: Sabadell FC 1–0 Almería

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sabadell FC (Local)

Previsão 35.61%2.81odd justa
EV -0.655%
Vantagem -0.235%
Kelly -0.366%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.03%35.64%35.61%37.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.572.602.7942.55%38.98%38.46%35.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Almería (Visitante)

Previsão 33.98%2.94odd justa
EV -3.50%
Vantagem -1.23%
Kelly -1.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.84

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.05%34.04%33.95%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.722.702.8439.22%36.83%37.04%35.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.41%3.29odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.357%
Kelly -0.515%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.07%30.32%30.44%31.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.013.003.2535.71%33.21%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sabadell FC (Local): 35.61%; Almería (Visitante): 33.98%; Empate: 30.41%. Para Sabadell FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.81. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.79, com valor esperado de -0.655%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -0.655%E -0.235%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.71%EV -9.61%E -3.61%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.25%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 14:55
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.86%EV -1.01%E -0.364%K -0.568%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.37%EV -4.18%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.20%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.50%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.50%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 14:35
BetAnything🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.50%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 14:35
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 14:35
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.78%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.33%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 14:33
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 14:55
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 14:54
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -1.16%E -0.357%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.68%E -0.837%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 14:20
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 14:19
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.70%EV -6.90%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 14:54
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 14:35
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 14:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.68%E -0.837%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 14:45
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.87%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -7.57%E -2.78%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.49%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.87%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -7.57%E -2.78%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.49%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 14:35
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 14:49
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.95%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 14:35
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 14:30
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.41%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 14:35
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.41%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.63%E -4.04%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -12.41%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.02%EV -11.69%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.71%EV -9.95%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.74%EV -11.69%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -10.63%E -4.04%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.74%EV -11.69%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -10.63%E -4.04%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.43%EV -12.05%E -4.88%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.58%EV -8.93%E -3.33%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 14:33
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 14:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.55%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.89%EV -12.67%E -4.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.56%EV -13.32%E -4.68%K -7.20%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-29 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 35.93%EV -15.25%E -6.41%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.53%EV -13.35%E -5.24%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.54%EV -14.84%E -5.30%K -8.25%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-29 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -16.32%E -6.95%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -9.95%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 14:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.29%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-08-29 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%0.5%2026-08-29 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%0.5%2026-08-29 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-08-29 14:50
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%1.0%2026-08-29 14:50
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%1.1%2026-08-29 14:45