Idioma:Español
Sabadell FC v Almería
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sabadell FC (Local)
Predicción 35.61%2.81momio equitativo
EV -0.655%
Ventaja -0.235%
Kelly -0.366%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.03%35.64%35.61%37.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.572.602.7942.55%38.98%38.46%35.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Almería (Visitante)
Predicción 33.98%2.94momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.05%34.04%33.95%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.722.702.8439.22%36.83%37.04%35.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.41%3.29momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.357%
Kelly -0.515%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.07%30.32%30.44%31.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.013.003.2535.71%33.21%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sabadell FC (Local): 35.61%; Almería (Visitante): 33.98%; Empate: 30.41%. Para Sabadell FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.81. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.79, con un valor esperado de -0.655%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -0.655%E -0.235%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.71%EV -9.61%E -3.61%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.25%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.86%EV -1.01%E -0.364%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.37%EV -4.18%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.20%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.50%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.50%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 14:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.50%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.78%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.33%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 14:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -1.16%E -0.357%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.68%E -0.837%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.70%EV -6.90%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 14:38 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.68%E -0.837%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.87%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -7.57%E -2.78%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.49%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.87%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -7.57%E -2.78%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.49%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 14:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 14:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.95%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.41%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.41%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.63%E -4.04%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -12.41%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.02%EV -11.69%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.71%EV -9.95%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.74%EV -11.69%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -10.63%E -4.04%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.74%EV -11.69%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -10.63%E -4.04%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.43%EV -12.05%E -4.88%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.58%EV -8.93%E -3.33%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 14:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.55%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.89%EV -12.67%E -4.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.56%EV -13.32%E -4.68%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-29 14:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.93%EV -15.25%E -6.41%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.53%EV -13.35%E -5.24%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.54%EV -14.84%E -5.30%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -16.32%E -6.95%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -9.95%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-29 14:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.29% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 14:45 |