Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sabadell FC v Almería

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 15:00 UTC

Score final : Sabadell FC 1–0 Almería

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sabadell FC (Local)

Prévision 35.61%2.81cote équitable
EV -0.655%
Avantage -0.235%
Kelly -0.366%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.03%35.64%35.61%37.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.572.602.7942.55%38.98%38.46%35.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Almería (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.98%2.94cote équitable
EV -3.50%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -1.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.05%34.04%33.95%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.722.702.8439.22%36.83%37.04%35.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.41%3.29cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.357%
Kelly -0.515%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.07%30.32%30.44%31.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.013.003.2535.71%33.21%33.33%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sabadell FC (Local) : 35.61% ; Almería (Visiteur) : 33.98% ; Match nul : 30.41%. Pour Sabadell FC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.81. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.79, pour une espérance de -0.655% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -0.655%E -0.235%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.71%EV -9.61%E -3.61%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.25%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 14:55
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.86%EV -1.01%E -0.364%K -0.568%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.37%EV -4.18%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.20%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.50%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.50%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 14:35
BetAnything🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.42%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -3.50%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 14:35
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 14:35
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.78%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.33%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 14:33
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 14:55
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 14:54
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -1.16%E -0.357%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.68%E -0.837%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 14:20
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -4.86%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 14:19
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.70%EV -6.90%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 14:54
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 14:35
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 14:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.68%E -0.837%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 14:45
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.87%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -7.57%E -2.78%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.49%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.87%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -7.57%E -2.78%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.49%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 14:35
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 14:49
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.95%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 14:35
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 14:30
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.41%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 14:35
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.41%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.63%E -4.04%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -12.41%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.02%EV -11.69%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.71%EV -9.95%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.74%EV -11.69%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -10.63%E -4.04%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.74%EV -11.69%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -10.63%E -4.04%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.43%EV -12.05%E -4.88%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.58%EV -8.93%E -3.33%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 14:33
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 14:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.55%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.89%EV -12.67%E -4.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.56%EV -13.32%E -4.68%K -7.20%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-29 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 35.93%EV -15.25%E -6.41%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.53%EV -13.35%E -5.24%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.54%EV -14.84%E -5.30%K -8.25%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-29 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -16.32%E -6.95%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -9.95%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 14:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.29%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-08-29 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%0.5%2026-08-29 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%0.5%2026-08-29 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-08-29 14:50
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%1.0%2026-08-29 14:50
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%1.1%2026-08-29 14:45