Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Valladolid CF v SD Huesca

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Valladolid CF (Local)

Prediction 51.94%1.93fair odd
EV -4.95%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -5.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.07%51.94%52.02%53.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.761.761.8362.50%56.72%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SD Huesca (Visit)

Prediction 20.27%4.93fair odd
EV +2.35%
Edge +0.465%
Kelly +0.579%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 5.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.56%20.21%20.19%21.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.554.605.0525.00%21.97%21.74%19.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.79%3.60fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.456%
Kelly -0.636%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.39%27.86%27.80%29.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.263.253.5434.72%30.63%30.77%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Valladolid CF (Local): 51.94%; SD Huesca (Visit): 20.27%; Draw: 27.79%. For SD Huesca (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.93. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.05%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.12%EV +2.35%E +0.465%K +0.579%G +0.014%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -3.56%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 17:19
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -8.06%E -4.56%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV +1.33%E +0.267%K +0.333%G +0.004%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.54%EV -4.95%E -2.70%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.45%EV -1.71%E -0.352%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.54%EV -4.95%E -2.70%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.45%EV -1.71%E -0.352%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -10.66%E -6.20%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -2.72%E -0.567%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 17:24
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.33%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.86%EV -3.13%E -0.654%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -1.61%E -0.456%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -4.95%E -2.70%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.73%E -0.786%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.13%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -3.73%E -0.786%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 17:00
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -3.73%E -0.786%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:24
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -3.73%E -0.786%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 17:04
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.02%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -3.73%E -0.786%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -13.84%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:04
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -6.51%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -6.51%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.37%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -5.76%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.06%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:24
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.77%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.77%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.77%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.77%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:04
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -6.77%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -6.77%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.51%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -8.06%E -4.56%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 17:24
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -8.58%E -4.88%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -9.62%E -5.53%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -9.62%E -5.53%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.03%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -9.62%E -5.53%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.03%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 17:00
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.84%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 17:19
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.51%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -9.81%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.51%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -9.81%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -10.66%E -6.20%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.83%E -2.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 52.21%EV -16.89%E -10.56%K -28.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 18.99%EV -10.83%E -2.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.81%EV -19.40%E -6.69%K -10.21%G +0.000%19.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -6.51%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -12.25%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.48%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.80%EV -12.25%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 17:20
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.25%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.25%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.25%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.25%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.98%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -12.85%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.32%EV -9.62%E -5.53%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.77%EV -12.85%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 17:08
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.12%EV -13.26%E -7.94%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -12.85%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.63%EV -12.45%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-28 17:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.69%EV -11.70%E -6.88%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.68%EV -13.87%E -3.26%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.63%EV -11.62%E -3.65%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.38%EV -12.74%E -7.58%K -18.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -14.88%E -3.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -11.70%E -6.88%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.92%EV -15.89%E -3.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -13.84%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-28 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.26%E -7.94%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.90%EV -18.93%E -4.73%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.03%EV -19.96%E -6.93%K -10.62%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-28 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-02-28 17:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-02-28 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-02-28 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-02-28 17:25
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.34%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.4%2026-02-28 17:25