L’École des cotes

Real Valladolid CF v SD Huesca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Valladolid CF (Local)

Prévision 51.94%1.93cote équitable
EV -4.95%
Avantage -2.70%
Kelly -5.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.07%51.94%52.02%53.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.761.761.8362.50%56.72%56.82%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SD Huesca (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.27%4.93cote équitable
EV +2.35%
Avantage +0.465%
Kelly +0.579%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 5.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.56%20.21%20.19%21.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.554.605.0525.00%21.97%21.74%19.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.79%3.60cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.456%
Kelly -0.636%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.39%27.86%27.80%29.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.253.5434.72%30.63%30.77%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.05%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.12%EV +2.35%E +0.465%K +0.579%G +0.014%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -3.56%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 17:19
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -8.06%E -4.56%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV +1.33%E +0.267%K +0.333%G +0.004%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.54%EV -4.95%E -2.70%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.45%EV -1.71%E -0.352%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 18:39
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.54%EV -4.95%E -2.70%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.45%EV -1.71%E -0.352%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -10.66%E -6.20%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -2.72%E -0.567%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 17:24
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.33%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.86%EV -3.13%E -0.654%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -1.61%E -0.456%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:25
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -4.95%E -2.70%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.73%E -0.786%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.13%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -3.73%E -0.786%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 17:00
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -3.73%E -0.786%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:24
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -3.73%E -0.786%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 17:04
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.02%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -3.73%E -0.786%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -13.84%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:04
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:04
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -6.51%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 17:00
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -6.51%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -4.75%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.37%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -5.76%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.06%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:24
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.77%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.77%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.77%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.77%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:04
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -6.77%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 17:24
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -6.77%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 17:25
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.51%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -8.06%E -4.56%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 17:24
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -8.58%E -4.88%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 17:00
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -9.62%E -5.53%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 17:14
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -9.62%E -5.53%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.03%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -9.62%E -5.53%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.03%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 17:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -8.80%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.84%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 17:19
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.51%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -9.81%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 17:00
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.51%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -9.81%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -10.66%E -6.20%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.83%E -2.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 17:00
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 52.21%EV -16.89%E -10.56%K -28.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 18.99%EV -10.83%E -2.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.81%EV -19.40%E -6.69%K -10.21%G +0.000%19.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -6.51%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -12.25%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 17:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.48%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.80%EV -12.25%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 17:20
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.25%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.25%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.25%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.25%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.98%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -12.85%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.32%EV -9.62%E -5.53%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.77%EV -12.85%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 17:08
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.12%EV -13.26%E -7.94%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -12.85%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.63%EV -12.45%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-28 17:19
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.69%EV -11.70%E -6.88%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.68%EV -13.87%E -3.26%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.63%EV -11.62%E -3.65%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 17:24
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.38%EV -12.74%E -7.58%K -18.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -14.88%E -3.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -11.70%E -6.88%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.92%EV -15.89%E -3.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -13.84%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-28 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.26%E -7.94%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.90%EV -18.93%E -4.73%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.03%EV -19.96%E -6.93%K -10.62%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-28 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-02-28 17:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-02-28 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-02-28 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-02-28 17:25
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.34%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.4%2026-02-28 17:25