La scuola delle quote

Real Valladolid CF v SD Eibar

Inizio: 2026-04-13 18:30 UTC

Finale: Real Valladolid CF 0–0 SD Eibar

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Real Valladolid CF (Casa)

Previsione 39.65%2.52quota equa
EV -3.25%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -2.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.31%39.67%39.78%40.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.332.322.4445.45%42.99%43.10%40.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

SD Eibar (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.55%3.50quota equa
EV +1.06%
Vantaggio +0.299%
Kelly +0.416%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.92%28.50%28.52%31.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.153.153.5435.09%31.70%31.75%28.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.80%3.14quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.459%
Kelly -0.677%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.15%31.83%31.70%33.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.902.903.1038.46%34.54%34.48%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.70%EV -3.25%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.36%EV +1.06%E +0.299%K +0.416%G +0.004%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.94%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-13 18:15
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.72%EV -5.23%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -2.37%E -0.692%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.51%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 18:25
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 18:14
BetAnything2.33I 42.92%NM 39.72%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 18:25
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 18:14
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.37%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 18:01
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -4.37%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 18:07
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -4.65%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 18:25
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 18:25
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 18:14
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-13 18:15
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 18:14
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-13 18:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 18:24
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-13 18:15
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.677%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 17:45
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 18:15
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 18:15
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 18:14
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -8.00%E -3.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 17:55
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -8.00%E -3.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 17:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 17:00
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 08:29
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 08:29
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 18:15
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 18:01
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 39.74%EV -9.19%E -4.01%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 17:55
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.26%EV -11.97%E -5.39%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-13 18:14
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-13 18:14
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-13 11:25
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-13 18:14
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 17:55
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-13 18:14
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-13 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-13 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-13 18:15
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 17:34
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 17:35
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 17:45
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 17:44
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.13%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-13 18:24
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 17:35
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 17:35
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 17:35
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 17:45
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-13 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -15.79%E -5.35%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 17:35
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -15.79%E -5.35%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-13 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.56%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.21%E -5.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-13 17:35
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.56%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.21%E -5.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-13 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.31%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.27%EV -17.78%E -6.17%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.42%EV -17.32%E -6.66%K -10.83%G +0.000%18.6%2026-04-13 18:15
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.59%EV -9.59%E -4.21%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -18.64%E -6.54%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-13 17:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-13 18:25
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%0.8%2026-04-13 18:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%1.0%2026-04-13 18:00
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%1.7%2026-04-13 18:25