مدرسة الاحتمالات

Real Valladolid CF v SD Eibar

البداية: 2026-04-13 18:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Real Valladolid CF 0–0 SD Eibar

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Real Valladolid CF (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.65%2.52السعر العادل
EV -3.25%
الأفضلية -1.33%
Kelly -2.25%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.31%39.67%39.78%40.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.332.322.4445.45%42.99%43.10%40.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

SD Eibar (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.55%3.50السعر العادل
EV +1.06%
الأفضلية +0.299%
Kelly +0.416%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.92%28.50%28.52%31.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.853.153.153.5435.09%31.70%31.75%28.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.80%3.14السعر العادل
EV -1.42%
الأفضلية -0.459%
Kelly -0.677%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.15%31.83%31.70%33.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.902.903.1038.46%34.54%34.48%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.70%EV -3.25%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.36%EV +1.06%E +0.299%K +0.416%G +0.004%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.94%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-13 18:15
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.72%EV -5.23%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -2.37%E -0.692%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.51%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 18:25
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 18:14
BetAnything2.33I 42.92%NM 39.72%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 18:25
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 18:14
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.37%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 18:01
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -4.37%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 18:07
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -4.65%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 18:25
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 18:25
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 18:14
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-13 18:15
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 18:14
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-13 18:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 18:24
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-13 18:15
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.677%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 17:45
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 18:15
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 18:15
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 18:14
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -8.00%E -3.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 17:55
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -8.00%E -3.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 17:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 17:00
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 08:29
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 08:29
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 18:15
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 18:01
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 39.74%EV -9.19%E -4.01%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 17:55
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.26%EV -11.97%E -5.39%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-13 18:14
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-13 18:14
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-13 11:25
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-13 18:14
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 17:55
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-13 18:14
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-13 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-13 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-13 18:15
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 17:34
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 17:35
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 17:45
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 17:44
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.13%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-13 18:24
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 17:35
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 17:35
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 17:35
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 17:45
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-13 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -15.79%E -5.35%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 17:35
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -15.79%E -5.35%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-13 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.56%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.21%E -5.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-13 17:35
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.56%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.21%E -5.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-13 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.31%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.27%EV -17.78%E -6.17%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.42%EV -17.32%E -6.66%K -10.83%G +0.000%18.6%2026-04-13 18:15
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.59%EV -9.59%E -4.21%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -18.64%E -6.54%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-13 17:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-13 18:25
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%0.8%2026-04-13 18:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%1.0%2026-04-13 18:00
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%1.7%2026-04-13 18:25