La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Real Valladolid CF v SD Eibar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Real Valladolid CF (Local)
Predicción 39.65%2.52momio equitativo
EV -3.25%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -2.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.31%39.67%39.78%40.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.332.322.4445.45%42.99%43.10%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
SD Eibar (Visitante)
Predicción 28.55%3.50momio equitativo
EV +1.06%
Ventaja +0.299%
Kelly +0.416%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.92%28.50%28.52%31.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.153.153.5435.09%31.70%31.75%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.80%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.459%
Kelly -0.677%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.15%31.83%31.70%33.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.902.903.1038.46%34.54%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.70%EV -3.25%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.36%EV +1.06%E +0.299%K +0.416%G +0.004% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.94%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-13 18:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.72%EV -5.23%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -2.37%E -0.692%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.51%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 18:14 |
| BetAnything | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.72%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 18:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.37%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 18:01 |
| Bovada | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -4.37%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 18:07 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -4.65%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 18:25 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-13 18:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-13 18:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 18:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-13 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-13 18:24 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-13 18:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 17:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 18:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 18:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -8.00%E -3.45%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-13 17:55 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -8.00%E -3.45%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-13 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-13 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-13 08:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-13 18:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-13 18:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.74%EV -9.19%E -4.01%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-13 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.26%EV -11.97%E -5.39%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-13 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-13 18:14 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-13 11:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-13 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-13 17:55 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-13 18:14 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-13 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-13 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-13 18:15 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 17:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 17:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.13%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-13 18:24 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 17:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 17:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 17:35 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-13 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -15.79%E -5.35%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-13 17:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -15.79%E -5.35%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-13 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.56%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.21%E -5.94%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-13 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.56%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.21%E -5.94%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-13 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.31%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.27%EV -17.78%E -6.17%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.42%EV -17.32%E -6.66%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-04-13 18:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.59%EV -9.59%E -4.21%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -18.64%E -6.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-13 17:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36% | 0.6% | 2026-04-13 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36% | 0.6% | 2026-04-13 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36% | 0.6% | 2026-04-13 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 18:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.64% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43% | 1.7% | 2026-04-13 18:25 |