L’École des cotes

Real Valladolid CF v SD Eibar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 18:30 UTC

Score final : Real Valladolid CF 0–0 SD Eibar

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Valladolid CF (Local)

Prévision 39.65%2.52cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -2.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.31%39.67%39.78%40.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.332.322.4445.45%42.99%43.10%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SD Eibar (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.55%3.50cote équitable
EV +1.06%
Avantage +0.299%
Kelly +0.416%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.92%28.50%28.52%31.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.153.153.5435.09%31.70%31.75%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.80%3.14cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.459%
Kelly -0.677%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.15%31.83%31.70%33.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.902.903.1038.46%34.54%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.70%EV -3.25%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.36%EV +1.06%E +0.299%K +0.416%G +0.004%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.94%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-13 18:15
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.72%EV -5.23%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -2.37%E -0.692%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.51%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 18:25
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 18:14
BetAnything2.33I 42.92%NM 39.72%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 18:25
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 18:14
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.37%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 18:01
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -4.37%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 18:07
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -4.65%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 18:25
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 18:25
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 18:14
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-13 18:15
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 18:14
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-13 18:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 18:24
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-13 18:15
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.677%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 17:45
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 18:15
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 18:15
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 18:14
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -8.00%E -3.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 17:55
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -8.00%E -3.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 17:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 17:00
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 08:29
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 08:29
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 18:15
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 18:01
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 39.74%EV -9.19%E -4.01%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 17:55
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.26%EV -11.97%E -5.39%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-13 18:14
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-13 18:14
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-13 11:25
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-13 18:14
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 17:55
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-13 18:14
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-13 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-13 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.80%E -3.82%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.96%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-13 18:15
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 17:34
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 17:35
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 17:45
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 17:44
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -12.93%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.13%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-13 18:24
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 17:35
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 17:35
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 17:35
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 17:45
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-13 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -15.79%E -5.35%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 17:35
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -15.79%E -5.35%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-13 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.56%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.21%E -5.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-13 17:35
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.56%EV -7.61%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.21%E -5.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-13 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.31%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.27%EV -17.78%E -6.17%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.42%EV -17.32%E -6.66%K -10.83%G +0.000%18.6%2026-04-13 18:15
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.59%EV -9.59%E -4.21%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -18.64%E -6.54%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-13 17:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-13 18:25
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%0.8%2026-04-13 18:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%1.0%2026-04-13 18:00
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%1.7%2026-04-13 18:25