Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Valladolid CF v Andorra CF

2026-09-05 16:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Valladolid CF (Local)

Prediction 37.46%2.67fair odd
EV -5.24%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.49%37.36%37.46%38.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.402.5344.44%41.17%41.67%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Andorra CF (Visit)

Prediction 33.88%2.95fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.965%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.51%33.81%33.84%35.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.652.8740.00%37.30%37.74%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.67%3.49fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -0.746%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%28.83%28.70%30.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.153.103.4033.90%31.75%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Valladolid CF (Local): 37.46%; Andorra CF (Visit): 33.88%; Draw: 28.67%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -2.54%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.69%EV -5.24%E -2.07%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.23%EV -2.77%E -0.965%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.08%EV -5.98%E -1.82%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 09:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -5.61%E -2.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -5.61%E -2.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 12:00
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -5.61%E -2.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.85%E -2.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 09:15
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -5.61%E -2.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.85%E -2.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 09:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.83%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.54%E -0.746%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 09:25
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.83%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.54%E -0.746%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 09:30
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.24%E -4.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 11:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -15.44%E -5.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 11:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 36.97%EV -7.86%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 09:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 09:25
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 09:23
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 09:22
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 11:40
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 09:15
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 09:13
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 11:35
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -11.24%E -4.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 09:24
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.92%E -4.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 11:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -11.92%E -4.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 09:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 09:19
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.90%E -4.14%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.90%E -4.14%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 11:35
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -11.24%E -4.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 09:40
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -11.23%E -4.74%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -11.24%E -4.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -11.23%E -4.74%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -11.24%E -4.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 11:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.43%EV -11.23%E -4.74%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.48%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -11.98%E -5.10%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 09:15
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -15.30%E -6.12%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-31 09:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -15.72%E -6.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -11.92%E -4.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-31 09:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.54%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.60%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%4.1%2026-08-31 13:05
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 36.88%2.54I 39.37%NM 33.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.15%15.9%2026-08-31 09:15