Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Real Valladolid CF (Local): 38.99%; Andorra CF (Visitante): 32.44%; Empate: 28.56%. Para Andorra CF (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.08. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.00, con un valor esperado de -2.67%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -2.67%E -0.889%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.89%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -5.25%E -2.16%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 19:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -5.25%E -2.16%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -5.25%E -2.16%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 19:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -5.25%E -2.16%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -5.25%E -2.16%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -5.64%E -2.33%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.26%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -5.64%E -2.33%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.26%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -5.64%E -2.33%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.26%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 09:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -2.89%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 09:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 09:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.81%E -2.85%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.27%EV -6.24%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 09:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 08:28 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-31 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 09:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 09:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -14.67%E -5.58%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -14.67%E -5.58%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 09:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.59%E -3.20%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -15.00%E -5.72%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.59%E -3.20%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -15.00%E -5.72%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 19:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 19:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -9.54%E -4.11%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.52%EV -8.03%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 10:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -9.54%E -4.11%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -9.54%E -4.11%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 19:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -4.29%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 12:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-31 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 10:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.25%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 38.45%EV -13.05%E -5.85%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.98%EV -15.64%E -6.02%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.58%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-02 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -16.17%E -7.52%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.97% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.94% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.97% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.94% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.97% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.94% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.84% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.99% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.24% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |