Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Real Valladolid CF v Andorra CF

Início: 2026-09-05 16:30 UTC

Final: Real Valladolid CF 1–0 Andorra CF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Real Valladolid CF (Local)

Previsão 38.99%2.56odd justa
EV -4.47%
Vantagem -1.82%
Kelly -3.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.75%38.97%38.94%40.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.352.352.4546.51%42.48%42.55%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Andorra CF (Visitante)

Previsão 32.44%3.08odd justa
EV -2.67%
Vantagem -0.889%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.20%32.46%32.38%34.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.792.803.0038.46%35.78%35.71%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.56%3.50odd justa
EV -2.89%
Vantagem -0.849%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.51%28.57%28.68%29.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.23%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Real Valladolid CF (Local): 38.99%; Andorra CF (Visitante): 32.44%; Empate: 28.56%. Para Andorra CF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.08. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.00, com valor esperado de -2.67%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -2.67%E -0.889%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 08:30
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.89%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 17:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -5.25%E -2.16%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 19:50
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -5.25%E -2.16%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 19:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -5.25%E -2.16%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 19:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -5.25%E -2.16%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -5.25%E -2.16%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -5.64%E -2.33%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.26%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 09:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -5.64%E -2.33%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.26%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 09:20
BetAnything🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -5.64%E -2.33%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.26%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 09:18
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -2.89%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:30
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 09:14
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 08:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 09:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.81%E -2.85%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.27%EV -6.24%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 09:14
Bovada🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 08:28
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 14:35
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 09:10
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 09:09
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -14.67%E -5.58%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -14.67%E -5.58%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 09:10
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.59%E -3.20%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -15.00%E -5.72%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.59%E -3.20%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -15.00%E -5.72%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 09:05
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 11:30
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 14:40
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 10:10
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 10:10
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 19:50
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 19:54
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 19:50
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -9.54%E -4.11%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.52%EV -8.03%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 10:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -9.54%E -4.11%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -9.54%E -4.11%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 19:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -4.29%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 12:44
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 08:35
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 08:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-03 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 08:55
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-31 14:35
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 08:35
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 10:08
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.25%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 10:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-04 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.45%EV -13.05%E -5.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.98%EV -15.64%E -6.02%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.58%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-02 19:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -16.17%E -7.52%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -11.45%E -3.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-04 10:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08%2.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08%2.6%2026-09-04 12:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08%2.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.99%3.0%2026-09-04 14:30
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.24%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%6.2%2026-09-04 14:30