Language:English
Real Sociedad B v Granada CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Sociedad B (Local)
Prediction 36.55%2.74fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.489%
Kelly -0.776%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.81%36.58%36.57%37.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.542.512.7043.48%39.42%39.84%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Granada CF (Visit)
Prediction 33.20%3.01fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.80%33.16%33.18%35.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.722.702.9141.67%36.83%37.04%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.25%3.31fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.94%30.27%30.25%31.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.033.053.2037.74%32.98%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Sociedad B (Local): 36.55%; Granada CF (Visit): 33.20%; Draw: 30.25%. For Real Sociedad B (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -6.84%E -2.22%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -6.84%E -2.22%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.23%EV -2.42%E -0.905%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.25%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.52%EV -4.12%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.50%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.22%EV -4.04%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.28%EV -4.12%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 14:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 14:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 14:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 11:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -15.33%E -6.01%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -15.33%E -6.01%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -6.70%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.84%E -2.22%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.58%EV -6.03%E -2.13%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.58%EV -6.03%E -2.13%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -16.99%E -6.80%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-22 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -16.99%E -6.80%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-22 14:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -7.90%E -3.13%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.69%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -7.90%E -3.13%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.69%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -4.37%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -4.37%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 11:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 14:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.52%EV -13.19%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.00%E -4.96%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.00%E -4.96%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-22 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.00%E -4.96%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-22 14:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -15.31%E -5.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.33%EV -8.99%E -3.61%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.51%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 14:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 14:12 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -15.31%E -5.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.92%EV -11.55%E -4.77%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.09%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.98%EV -9.86%E -3.31%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-22 13:18 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.28%E -5.12%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -12.28%E -5.12%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.89%EV -9.86%E -3.31%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-22 14:52 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -5.12%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.26%EV -12.28%E -5.12%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.21%EV -13.00%E -4.96%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -13.80%E -4.84%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 34.81%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.51%EV -20.31%E -8.46%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.68%EV -18.33%E -6.79%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.10%EV -15.94%E -6.93%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.56%EV -15.33%E -6.01%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.33%EV -19.85%E -7.49%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 1.8% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 14:15 |