L’École des cotes

Real Sociedad B v Granada CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Sociedad B (Local)

Prévision 36.55%2.74cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.489%
Kelly -0.776%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.81%36.58%36.57%37.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.542.512.7043.48%39.42%39.84%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Granada CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.20%3.01cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -1.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.80%33.16%33.18%35.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.722.702.9141.67%36.83%37.04%34.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.25%3.31cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.94%30.27%30.25%31.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.653.033.053.2037.74%32.98%32.79%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -6.84%E -2.22%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 12:50
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -6.84%E -2.22%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 12:50
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:05
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:05
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:05
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:05
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.23%EV -2.42%E -0.905%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.25%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.52%EV -4.12%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 14:55
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.50%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.22%EV -4.04%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.28%EV -4.12%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 15:00
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 14:30
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 14:29
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 14:29
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 14:30
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 14:59
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 11:00
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 11:58
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -15.33%E -6.01%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 14:30
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -15.33%E -6.01%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:45
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 14:59
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -6.70%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.84%E -2.22%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:59
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 14:59
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.58%EV -6.03%E -2.13%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 14:59
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.58%EV -6.03%E -2.13%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 15:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -16.99%E -6.80%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -16.99%E -6.80%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 14:29
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -7.90%E -3.13%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.69%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 13:19
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -7.90%E -3.13%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.69%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 13:19
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 14:59
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -4.37%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 14:59
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 14:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -4.37%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 11:59
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 14:59
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:14
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.52%EV -13.19%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 15:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 14:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.00%E -4.96%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 11:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.00%E -4.96%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.00%E -4.96%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 14:14
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -15.31%E -5.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 14:59
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 36.33%EV -8.99%E -3.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.51%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 13:19
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 14:15
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 14:12
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 13:19
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -15.31%E -5.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 14:59
Unibet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.92%EV -11.55%E -4.77%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.09%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.98%EV -9.86%E -3.31%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 13:18
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.28%E -5.12%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 14:54
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -12.28%E -5.12%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.89%EV -9.86%E -3.31%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 14:52
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -5.12%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 13:19
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.26%EV -12.28%E -5.12%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.21%EV -13.00%E -4.96%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -13.80%E -4.84%K -7.46%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-22 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 34.81%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.51%EV -20.31%E -8.46%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.68%EV -18.33%E -6.79%K -10.78%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-22 15:00
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.10%EV -15.94%E -6.93%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.56%EV -15.33%E -6.01%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.33%EV -19.85%E -7.49%K -12.03%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-22 14:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-03-22 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-03-22 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-03-22 15:00
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-03-22 15:00
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%1.8%2026-03-22 15:00
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-03-22 14:15