La escuela de los momios

Real Sociedad B v Granada CF

Inicio: 2026-03-22 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Real Sociedad B (Local)

Predicción 36.55%2.74momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.489%
Kelly -0.776%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.81%36.58%36.57%37.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.542.512.7043.48%39.42%39.84%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Granada CF (Visitante)

Predicción 33.20%3.01momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -1.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.80%33.16%33.18%35.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.722.702.9141.67%36.83%37.04%34.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.25%3.31momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.94%30.27%30.25%31.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.653.033.053.2037.74%32.98%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -6.84%E -2.22%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 12:50
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -6.84%E -2.22%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 12:50
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:05
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:05
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:05
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -1.32%E -0.489%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:05
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.23%EV -2.42%E -0.905%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.25%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.52%EV -4.12%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 14:55
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.50%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.22%EV -4.04%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.28%EV -4.12%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 15:00
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 14:30
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 14:29
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 14:29
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 14:30
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 14:59
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 11:00
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 11:58
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -15.33%E -6.01%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 14:30
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -15.33%E -6.01%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:45
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 14:59
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -6.70%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.84%E -2.22%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:59
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 14:59
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.58%EV -6.03%E -2.13%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 14:59
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.58%EV -6.03%E -2.13%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 15:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -16.99%E -6.80%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -16.99%E -6.80%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 14:29
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -7.90%E -3.13%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.69%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 13:19
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -7.90%E -3.13%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.69%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 13:19
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 14:59
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -4.37%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 14:59
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 14:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -4.37%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 11:59
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 14:59
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:14
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.52%EV -13.19%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 15:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.67%E -4.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 14:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.00%E -4.96%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 11:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.00%E -4.96%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.00%E -4.96%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 14:14
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -15.31%E -5.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 14:59
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 36.33%EV -8.99%E -3.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.51%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 13:19
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 14:15
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 14:12
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 13:19
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -15.31%E -5.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 14:59
Unibet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.92%EV -11.55%E -4.77%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.09%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.98%EV -9.86%E -3.31%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 13:18
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.28%E -5.12%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 14:54
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -12.28%E -5.12%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.89%EV -9.86%E -3.31%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 14:52
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -5.12%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 13:19
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.26%EV -12.28%E -5.12%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.21%EV -13.00%E -4.96%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -13.80%E -4.84%K -7.46%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-22 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 34.81%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.51%EV -20.31%E -8.46%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.68%EV -18.33%E -6.79%K -10.78%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-22 15:00
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.10%EV -15.94%E -6.93%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.56%EV -15.33%E -6.01%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.33%EV -19.85%E -7.49%K -12.03%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-22 14:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-03-22 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-03-22 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-03-22 15:00
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-03-22 15:00
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%1.8%2026-03-22 15:00
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-03-22 14:15