Language:English
Real Sociedad B v Cultural Leonesa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Sociedad B (Local)
Prediction 42.25%2.37fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.670%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%42.21%42.27%42.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.202.3350.00%45.83%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cultural Leonesa (Visit)
Prediction 31.10%3.22fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.35%31.14%31.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.882.883.1038.46%34.69%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.65%3.75fair odd
EV -5.92%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%26.64%26.64%28.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.383.403.5334.72%29.62%29.41%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Sociedad B (Local): 42.25%; Cultural Leonesa (Visit): 31.10%; Draw: 26.65%. For Real Sociedad B (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.33, with an expected value of -1.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -1.56%E -0.670%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -1.56%E -0.670%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -1.56%E -0.670%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -1.56%E -0.670%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.25%EV -5.36%E -2.39%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -5.92%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -5.79%E -2.59%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -5.79%E -2.59%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.59%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 08:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.32%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.32%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 08:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 08:18 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 08:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 08:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -7.48%E -3.41%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.08%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.19%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.90%EV -7.48%E -3.41%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 08:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.42%EV -7.90%E -3.62%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.04%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -14.72%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-24 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -8.32%E -3.83%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-25 08:28 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-25 09:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-25 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-25 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-25 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-25 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-25 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-25 08:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.49%EV -12.55%E -6.06%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.86%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-25 08:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.42%EV -12.55%E -6.06%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.14%EV -12.30%E -4.36%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.45%EV -11.52%E -3.47%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.17%EV -13.39%E -6.53%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.02%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.81%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.27%EV -15.50%E -7.75%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.31%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.42%EV -14.72%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.94%EV -15.50%E -7.75%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.26%EV -19.14%E -7.36%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.06%EV -15.50%E -7.75%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.42%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.52%EV -23.24%E -8.07%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 40.84% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 36.47% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 22.69% | 39.9% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 28.70% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 53.19% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 18.12% | 72.5% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |