La escuela de los momios

Real Sociedad B v Cultural Leonesa

Inicio: 2026-05-31 16:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Real Sociedad B (Local)

Predicción 42.25%2.37momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.670%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.15%42.21%42.27%42.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.182.202.3350.00%45.83%45.45%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cultural Leonesa (Visitante)

Predicción 31.10%3.22momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.35%31.14%31.09%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.882.883.1038.46%34.69%34.72%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.65%3.75momio equitativo
EV -5.92%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%26.64%26.64%28.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.383.403.5334.72%29.62%29.41%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -1.56%E -0.670%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -1.56%E -0.670%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:00
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -1.56%E -0.670%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:00
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -1.56%E -0.670%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:00
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 17:00
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 17:00
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 17:00
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 17:00
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 08:20
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 08:20
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 17:00
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.25%EV -5.36%E -2.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -5.92%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 08:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -5.79%E -2.59%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 17:00
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -5.79%E -2.59%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 17:00
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.59%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:19
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.32%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 08:20
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.32%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 08:19
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 08:18
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 08:19
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 08:20
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 08:29
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 13:29
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -7.48%E -3.41%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.08%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.19%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 09:20
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 41.90%EV -7.48%E -3.41%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 08:09
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.42%EV -7.90%E -3.62%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.04%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -14.72%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-24 17:00
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -8.32%E -3.83%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-25 08:20
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 12:40
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-25 08:28
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 09:30
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 08:30
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-25 08:30
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-25 08:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-25 09:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-25 09:30
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-25 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-25 09:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-25 08:10
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-25 08:20
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.49%EV -12.55%E -6.06%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.86%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-25 08:29
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.42%EV -12.55%E -6.06%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.14%EV -12.30%E -4.36%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.45%EV -11.52%E -3.47%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-25 08:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.17%EV -13.39%E -6.53%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.02%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.81%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-25 08:20
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.27%EV -15.50%E -7.75%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.31%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.42%EV -14.72%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-25 08:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.94%EV -15.50%E -7.75%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.26%EV -19.14%E -7.36%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-25 08:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.06%EV -15.50%E -7.75%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.42%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.52%EV -23.24%E -8.07%K -12.36%G +0.000%21.8%2026-05-25 08:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%8.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%8.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 40.84%1.96I 51.02%NM 36.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 22.69%39.9%2026-05-25 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 28.70%1.09I 91.74%NM 53.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 18.12%72.5%2026-05-25 11:20