L’École des cotes

Real Sociedad B v Cultural Leonesa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Sociedad B (Local)

Prévision 42.25%2.37cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.670%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.15%42.21%42.27%42.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.182.202.3350.00%45.83%45.45%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cultural Leonesa (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.10%3.22cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.35%31.14%31.09%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.882.883.1038.46%34.69%34.72%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.65%3.75cote équitable
EV -5.92%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -2.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.79%26.64%26.64%28.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.383.403.5334.72%29.62%29.41%28.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -1.56%E -0.670%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -1.56%E -0.670%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:00
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -1.56%E -0.670%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:00
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -1.56%E -0.670%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:00
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 17:00
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 17:00
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 17:00
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 17:00
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 08:20
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 08:20
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 17:00
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.25%EV -5.36%E -2.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -5.92%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 08:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -5.79%E -2.59%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 17:00
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -5.79%E -2.59%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 17:00
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.59%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:19
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.32%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 08:20
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.32%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 08:19
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 08:18
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 08:19
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 08:20
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 08:29
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 13:29
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -7.48%E -3.41%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.08%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.19%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 09:20
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 41.90%EV -7.48%E -3.41%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 08:09
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.42%EV -7.90%E -3.62%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.04%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -14.72%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-24 17:00
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -8.32%E -3.83%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-25 08:20
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 12:40
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-25 08:28
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 09:30
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 08:30
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-25 08:30
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.81%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-25 08:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-25 09:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-25 09:30
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-25 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-25 09:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.92%E -4.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-25 08:10
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-25 08:20
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.49%EV -12.55%E -6.06%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.86%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-25 08:29
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.42%EV -12.55%E -6.06%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.14%EV -12.30%E -4.36%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.45%EV -11.52%E -3.47%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-25 08:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.17%EV -13.39%E -6.53%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.02%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.81%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-25 08:20
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.27%EV -15.50%E -7.75%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.31%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.42%EV -14.72%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-25 08:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.94%EV -15.50%E -7.75%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.26%EV -19.14%E -7.36%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-25 08:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.06%EV -15.50%E -7.75%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.42%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.52%EV -23.24%E -8.07%K -12.36%G +0.000%21.8%2026-05-25 08:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%8.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%8.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 40.84%1.96I 51.02%NM 36.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 22.69%39.9%2026-05-25 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 28.70%1.09I 91.74%NM 53.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 18.12%72.5%2026-05-25 11:20