Language:English
Real Sociedad B v CD Castellón
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Sociedad B (Local)
Prediction 23.67%4.22fair odd
EV +1.56%
Edge +0.364%
Kelly +0.475%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 4.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.54%23.64%23.74%24.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.833.804.2928.17%26.12%26.32%23.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CD Castellón (Visit)
Prediction 50.85%1.97fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.87%50.85%50.76%52.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.821.821.9260.98%54.99%54.95%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.48%3.93fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.431%
Kelly -0.581%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.56%25.51%25.50%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.543.503.8633.33%28.23%28.57%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Sociedad B (Local): 23.67%; CD Castellón (Visit): 50.85%; Draw: 25.48%. For Real Sociedad B (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.29, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.54%EV +1.56%E +0.364%K +0.475%G +0.007% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.27%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.18%EV -2.17%E -0.566%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.94%E -0.716%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.94%E -0.716%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -2.94%E -0.716%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 15:03 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.35%EV -3.88%E -0.957%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.09%EV -7.45%E -4.10%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.56%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -4.12%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.09%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -4.12%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -9.49%E -5.33%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 09:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 13:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:53 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 10:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -10.00%E -5.65%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 13:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 10:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.01%E -6.29%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-07 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.01%E -6.29%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -7.45%E -4.10%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 10:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -11.01%E -6.29%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -4.91%E -2.63%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -7.45%E -4.10%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 10:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -12.11%E -3.51%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 10:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 10:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 10:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.19%EV -9.49%E -5.33%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.67%EV -11.34%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 10:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.33%EV -10.00%E -5.65%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.60%EV -11.34%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-07 14:51 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -10.50%E -5.97%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.54%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.22%EV -13.56%E -7.97%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -12.11%E -3.51%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -13.59%E -3.72%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -6.44%E -3.50%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -13.59%E -3.72%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -6.44%E -3.50%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.15%EV -14.77%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 50.81%EV -16.61%E -10.13%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -18.48%E -5.77%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-07 15:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.96%EV -14.77%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.49%EV -15.08%E -9.03%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.55%EV -23.57%E -7.86%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-03-07 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -15.96%E -4.49%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.03%EV -10.50%E -5.97%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-07 10:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 15:10 |