L’École des cotes

Real Sociedad B v CD Castellón

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Sociedad B (Local)

Prévision 23.67%4.22cote équitable
EV +1.56%
Avantage +0.364%
Kelly +0.475%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.54%23.64%23.74%24.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.833.804.2928.17%26.12%26.32%23.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

CD Castellón (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.85%1.97cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -2.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.87%50.85%50.76%52.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.821.821.9260.98%54.99%54.95%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.48%3.93cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.431%
Kelly -0.581%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.56%25.51%25.50%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.543.503.8633.33%28.23%28.57%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.29I 23.31%NM 22.54%EV +1.56%E +0.364%K +0.475%G +0.007%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.27%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.18%EV -2.17%E -0.566%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 15:05
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.94%E -0.716%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 15:00
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.94%E -0.716%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 15:00
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -2.94%E -0.716%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 15:03
1xBet4.06I 24.63%NM 23.35%EV -3.88%E -0.957%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.09%EV -7.45%E -4.10%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.56%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 15:04
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -4.12%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.09%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:00
BetAnything4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -4.12%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -9.49%E -5.33%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 09:44
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 14:19
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 14:49
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 15:00
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 15:00
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 15:04
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 13:15
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 13:34
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:34
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:53
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 10:30
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 10:29
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -10.00%E -5.65%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:20
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:19
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:19
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:19
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 13:14
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 10:15
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.01%E -6.29%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-07 15:05
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.01%E -6.29%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-07 15:04
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -7.45%E -4.10%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 10:29
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -11.01%E -6.29%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:20
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:20
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:20
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -4.91%E -2.63%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:19
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -7.45%E -4.10%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 10:29
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -12.11%E -3.51%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 10:14
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 10:15
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 10:15
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.19%EV -9.49%E -5.33%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.67%EV -11.34%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 10:29
Betclic (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.33%EV -10.00%E -5.65%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.60%EV -11.34%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 14:51
Parions Sport (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -10.50%E -5.97%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-07 14:49
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.54%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.22%EV -13.56%E -7.97%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -12.11%E -3.51%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-07 15:04
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -13.59%E -3.72%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -6.44%E -3.50%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 14:19
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -13.59%E -3.72%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -6.44%E -3.50%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 14:19
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.15%EV -14.77%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 50.81%EV -16.61%E -10.13%K -25.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -18.48%E -5.77%K -8.40%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-07 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 22.96%EV -14.77%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 49.49%EV -15.08%E -9.03%K -22.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.55%EV -23.57%E -7.86%K -11.79%G +0.000%21.0%2026-03-07 15:05
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -15.96%E -4.49%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.03%EV -10.50%E -5.97%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 10:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-03-07 15:00
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%2.4%2026-03-07 15:10