La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Real Sociedad B v CD Castellón
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Real Sociedad B (Local)
Predicción 23.67%4.22momio equitativo
EV +1.56%
Ventaja +0.364%
Kelly +0.475%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.54%23.64%23.74%24.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.833.804.2928.17%26.12%26.32%23.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CD Castellón (Visitante)
Predicción 50.85%1.97momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -2.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.87%50.85%50.76%52.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.821.821.9260.98%54.99%54.95%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.48%3.93momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.431%
Kelly -0.581%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.56%25.51%25.50%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.543.503.8633.33%28.23%28.57%25.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.54%EV +1.56%E +0.364%K +0.475%G +0.007% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.27%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.18%EV -2.17%E -0.566%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.94%E -0.716%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.94%E -0.716%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -2.94%E -0.716%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 15:03 |
| 1xBet | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.35%EV -3.88%E -0.957%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.09%EV -7.45%E -4.10%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.56%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -4.12%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.09%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| BetAnything | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -4.12%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -9.49%E -5.33%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 09:44 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| DraftKings | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 13:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:53 |
| William Hill | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betsson | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 10:30 |
| NordicBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 10:29 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -10.00%E -5.65%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| theScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 13:14 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 10:15 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.01%E -6.29%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-07 15:05 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.01%E -6.29%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -7.45%E -4.10%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 10:29 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -11.01%E -6.29%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Casumo | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| TABtouch | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| betPARX | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -4.91%E -2.63%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -7.45%E -4.10%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 10:29 |
| LeoVegas | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -12.11%E -3.51%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 10:14 |
| Neds | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 10:15 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 10:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.19%EV -9.49%E -5.33%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.67%EV -11.34%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 10:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.33%EV -10.00%E -5.65%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.60%EV -11.34%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-07 14:51 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -10.50%E -5.97%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.54%EV -12.41%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.22%EV -13.56%E -7.97%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -12.11%E -3.51%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -13.59%E -3.72%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -6.44%E -3.50%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -13.59%E -3.72%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -6.44%E -3.50%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.15%EV -14.77%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 50.81%EV -16.61%E -10.13%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -18.48%E -5.77%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-07 15:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.96%EV -14.77%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.49%EV -15.08%E -9.03%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.55%EV -23.57%E -7.86%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-03-07 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -15.96%E -4.49%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.03%EV -10.50%E -5.97%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-07 10:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Kalshi | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 15:10 |