La scuola delle quote

Real Sociedad B v Burgos CF

Inizio: 2026-05-03 16:30 UTC

Finale: Real Sociedad B 0–0 Burgos CF

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Real Sociedad B (Casa)

Previsione 32.56%3.07quota equa
EV -1.03%
Vantaggio -0.338%
Kelly -0.504%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.56%32.55%32.51%33.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.822.833.0438.02%35.44%35.27%32.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Burgos CF (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.52%2.74quota equa
EV +0.058%
Vantaggio +0.021%
Kelly +0.033%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.86%36.41%36.63%38.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.482.502.7444.44%40.29%40.00%36.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.93%3.23quota equa
EV -2.58%
Vantaggio -0.820%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.25%31.04%30.86%32.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.973.003.1538.02%33.65%33.33%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.85%EV -1.03%E -0.338%K -0.504%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.33%EV +0.058%E +0.021%K +0.033%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.82%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 16:10
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -4.93%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -1.40%E -0.520%K -0.825%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -11.55%E -4.04%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:05
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -4.93%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -1.40%E -0.520%K -0.825%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -11.55%E -4.04%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:04
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -4.93%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.99%EV -3.59%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.46%EV -6.60%E -2.19%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 16:20
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -4.32%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 16:01
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -4.32%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 16:05
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.32%EV -2.58%E -0.820%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 16:09
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -3.96%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 16:20
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 16:19
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 16:25
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.27%EV -5.91%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -9.08%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:25
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 15:35
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 16:24
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 16:15
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 16:00
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -8.19%E -2.90%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.58%EV -7.98%E -3.17%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:05
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -8.19%E -2.90%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.58%EV -7.98%E -3.17%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:05
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 15:35
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 15:40
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 15:40
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 16:10
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:40
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -6.24%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 15:40
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 16:10
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -10.93%E -3.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 15:39
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 16:15
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 15:36
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -2.58%E -0.820%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -2.58%E -0.820%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:36
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -2.58%E -0.820%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:36
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -2.58%E -0.820%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:30
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 16:05
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.92%EV -11.63%E -4.80%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.60%EV -9.70%E -3.32%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 16:10
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:30
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:30
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:30
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:36
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 08:19
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 15:30
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 16:05
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -13.73%E -5.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 16:05
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.60%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-03 16:25
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%EV -13.09%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 15:35
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -13.09%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -13.09%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -13.45%E -5.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 08:20
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -13.45%E -5.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 08:20
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -14.18%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 15:35
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -14.18%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 15:36
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.56%EV -14.38%E -5.47%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.89%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.56%EV -18.66%E -7.10%K -11.45%G +0.000%20.5%2026-05-03 16:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03%0.1%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%1.5%2026-05-03 16:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%1.5%2026-05-03 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%1.5%2026-05-03 16:15
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%1.5%2026-05-03 16:16
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.57%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.40%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03%2.4%2026-05-03 16:16