L’École des cotesReal Sociedad B v Burgos CF
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Real Sociedad B (Local)
Prévision 32.56%3.07cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.338%
Kelly -0.504%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.56%32.55%32.51%33.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.822.833.0438.02%35.44%35.27%32.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Burgos CF (Visiteur)
Prévision 36.52%2.74cote équitable
EV +0.058%
Avantage +0.021%
Kelly +0.033%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.86%36.41%36.63%38.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.482.502.7444.44%40.29%40.00%36.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.93%3.23cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -0.820%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.25%31.04%30.86%32.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.973.003.1538.02%33.65%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.85%EV -1.03%E -0.338%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.33%EV +0.058%E +0.021%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.82%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -4.93%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -1.40%E -0.520%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -11.55%E -4.04%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -4.93%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -1.40%E -0.520%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -11.55%E -4.04%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 16:04 |
| 1xBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -4.93%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.99%EV -3.59%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.46%EV -6.60%E -2.19%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -4.32%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 16:01 |
| BetAnything | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -4.32%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.32%EV -2.58%E -0.820%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 16:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -3.96%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 16:19 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.27%EV -5.91%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.09%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -9.08%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 16:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 16:00 |
| Betsson | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -8.19%E -2.90%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.58%EV -7.98%E -3.17%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -8.19%E -2.90%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.58%EV -7.98%E -3.17%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| betfred_uk | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -6.24%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -10.93%E -3.80%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 15:39 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 15:36 |
| Unibet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -2.58%E -0.820%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -2.58%E -0.820%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 15:36 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -2.58%E -0.820%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 15:36 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -2.58%E -0.820%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.92%EV -11.63%E -4.80%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.60%EV -9.70%E -3.32%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 15:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 15:30 |
| Casumo | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 15:30 |
| betPARX | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 15:36 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 08:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -13.73%E -5.18%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.60%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%EV -13.09%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -13.09%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -13.09%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -13.45%E -5.68%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 08:20 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -13.45%E -5.68%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -14.18%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -8.84%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -14.18%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 15:36 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-03 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.56%EV -14.38%E -5.47%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.89%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.56%EV -18.66%E -7.10%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03% | 0.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 16:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 16:16 |
| Smarkets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.57% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.40% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 16:16 |