The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oviedo v Girona FC

2026-11-14 20:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oviedo (Local)

Prediction 38.92%2.57fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.40%38.93%38.92%40.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.342.352.4648.78%42.80%42.55%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Girona FC (Visit)

Prediction 32.32%3.09fair odd
EV -4.98%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.43%32.44%32.17%33.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.822.9438.46%35.60%35.46%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.76%3.48fair odd
EV +0.653%
Edge +0.186%
Kelly +0.261%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.97%28.62%28.92%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.173.153.5033.90%31.51%31.75%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Oviedo (Local): 38.92%; Girona FC (Visit): 32.32%; Draw: 28.76%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.50, producing a positive expected value of +0.653%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV +0.653%E +0.186%K +0.261%G +0.002%6.0%2026-11-08 15:40
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.99%EV -4.25%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.96%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -1.65%E -0.482%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -2.22%E -0.654%K -0.926%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-08 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.95%EV -6.97%E -2.92%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.01%EV -8.86%E -3.14%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.04%EV -4.52%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 16:05
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.10%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 15:44
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.10%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-08 15:40
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.92%EV -5.42%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.17%EV -4.98%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.92%EV -5.96%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.42%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.54%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.42%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.54%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.42%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.54%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.42%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.54%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.42%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.54%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:34
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.01%EV -7.75%E -3.27%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-08 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-08 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-08 15:40
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-07 20:05
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-07 20:05
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-08 15:40
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-07 20:35
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-07 20:34
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-07 20:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -14.37%E -6.53%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -12.74%E -4.72%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-07 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.36%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 16:30
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-08 15:39
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-08 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-08 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-08 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -9.70%E -4.18%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-07 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -9.70%E -4.18%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-07 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-07 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.50%EV -16.32%E -7.59%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.66%EV -15.97%E -6.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.84%EV -12.29%E -4.03%K -5.99%G +0.000%17.8%2026-11-07 20:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 39.68%EV -15.54%E -7.16%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.89%EV -12.74%E -4.72%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.42%EV -12.86%E -4.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%16.1%2026-11-07 20:04
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -12.42%E -5.52%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.74%E -4.72%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -13.73%E -4.58%K -6.86%G +0.000%14.8%2026-11-08 15:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.40%EV -13.20%E -5.92%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.56%EV -15.00%E -5.70%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.03%EV -15.16%E -5.14%K -7.78%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-07 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.27%EV -20.21%E -9.86%K -19.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.75%EV -15.97%E -6.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 27.98%EV -15.16%E -5.14%K -7.78%G +0.000%21.1%2026-11-07 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 38.33%2.52I 39.68%NM 33.77%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.90%17.5%2026-11-08 15:40

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