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Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Oviedo v Girona FC

2026-11-14 20:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Oviedo (Local)

Prévision 38.95%2.57cote équitable
EV -4.19%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -2.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.40%38.95%38.98%40.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.342.352.4648.78%42.79%42.55%40.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Girona FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.30%3.10cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.43%32.43%32.11%33.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.812.822.9838.46%35.59%35.46%33.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.75%3.48cote équitable
EV +0.630%
Avantage +0.180%
Kelly +0.252%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.97%28.62%28.91%29.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.183.153.5033.90%31.49%31.75%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Oviedo (Local) : 38.95% ; Girona FC (Visiteur) : 32.30% ; Match nul : 28.75%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.48. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.50, pour une espérance positive de +0.630%.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.55%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV +0.630%E +0.180%K +0.252%G +0.002%6.0%2026-11-08 15:40
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.99%EV -4.19%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.96%EV -6.00%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -1.67%E -0.488%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.17%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.660%K -0.935%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-08 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.95%EV -6.92%E -2.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.01%EV -8.91%E -3.16%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.04%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 16:05
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.03%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.09%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.89%EV -4.83%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 16:50
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.32%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 15:44
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.43%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.17%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:34
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.01%EV -7.70%E -3.25%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-08 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.32%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-08 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.32%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-08 15:40
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.94%E -2.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-07 20:05
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.94%E -2.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-07 20:05
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.94%E -2.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-08 15:40
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.55%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-07 20:35
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.55%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-07 20:34
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.55%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-07 20:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -14.32%E -6.51%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -12.78%E -4.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-07 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.32%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 16:30
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -7.94%E -2.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-08 15:39
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -10.43%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-08 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.43%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.55%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-08 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.43%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.55%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-08 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -9.65%E -4.16%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -11.17%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-07 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -9.65%E -4.16%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -11.17%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-07 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.43%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.17%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-07 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.50%EV -16.27%E -7.57%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.66%EV -16.01%E -6.16%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.84%EV -12.31%E -4.04%K -6.00%G +0.000%17.8%2026-11-07 20:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 39.68%EV -15.49%E -7.14%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.89%EV -12.78%E -4.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.42%EV -12.88%E -4.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-11-07 20:04
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -12.37%E -5.50%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.78%E -4.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%14.8%2026-11-08 15:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.40%EV -13.15%E -5.90%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.56%EV -15.04%E -5.72%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.03%EV -15.18%E -5.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-07 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.27%EV -20.16%E -9.84%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.75%EV -16.01%E -6.16%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 27.98%EV -15.18%E -5.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%21.1%2026-11-07 20:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 38.33%2.52I 39.68%NM 33.77%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.90%17.5%2026-11-08 15:40

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