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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Oviedo v Girona FC

2026-11-14 20:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Oviedo (主队)

预测 38.95%2.57公平赔率
EV -4.19%
优势 -1.70%
Kelly -2.87%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.46

博彩公司预测分布
38.40%38.95%38.98%40.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.342.352.4648.78%42.79%42.55%40.65%最小值均值中位数最大值

Girona FC (客队)

预测 32.30%3.10公平赔率
EV -3.74%
优势 -1.25%
Kelly -1.89%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.98

博彩公司预测分布
31.43%32.43%32.11%33.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.812.822.9838.46%35.59%35.46%33.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.75%3.48公平赔率
EV +0.630%
优势 +0.180%
Kelly +0.252%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.97%28.62%28.91%29.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.183.153.5033.90%31.49%31.75%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Oviedo (主队)：38.95%；Girona FC (客队)：32.30%；平局：28.75%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.48。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.50，由此产生+0.630%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.55%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV +0.630%E +0.180%K +0.252%G +0.002%6.0%2026-11-08 15:40
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.99%EV -4.19%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.96%EV -6.00%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -1.67%E -0.488%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.17%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -2.24%E -0.660%K -0.935%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-08 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.95%EV -6.92%E -2.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.01%EV -8.91%E -3.16%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.04%EV -4.54%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 16:05
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.03%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.09%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.89%EV -4.83%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 16:50
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.32%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 15:44
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.43%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.17%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:34
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.01%EV -7.70%E -3.25%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-08 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.32%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-08 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.32%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-08 15:40
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.94%E -2.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-07 20:05
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.94%E -2.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-07 20:05
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.94%E -2.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-08 15:40
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.55%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-07 20:35
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.55%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-07 20:34
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.55%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-07 20:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -14.32%E -6.51%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -12.78%E -4.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.43%E -2.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-07 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.32%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 16:30
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -7.94%E -2.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-08 15:39
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -10.43%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-08 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.43%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.55%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-08 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.43%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.55%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-08 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -9.65%E -4.16%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -11.17%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-07 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -9.65%E -4.16%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -11.17%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-07 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.43%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.17%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-07 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.50%EV -16.27%E -7.57%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.66%EV -16.01%E -6.16%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.84%EV -12.31%E -4.04%K -6.00%G +0.000%17.8%2026-11-07 20:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 39.68%EV -15.49%E -7.14%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.89%EV -12.78%E -4.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.42%EV -12.88%E -4.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-11-07 20:04
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -12.37%E -5.50%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.78%E -4.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%14.8%2026-11-08 15:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.40%EV -13.15%E -5.90%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.56%EV -15.04%E -5.72%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.03%EV -15.18%E -5.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-07 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.27%EV -20.16%E -9.84%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.75%EV -16.01%E -6.16%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 27.98%EV -15.18%E -5.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%21.1%2026-11-07 20:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 38.33%2.52I 39.68%NM 33.77%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.90%17.5%2026-11-08 15:40

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