Language:English
Oviedo v Burgos CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oviedo (Local)
Prediction 48.65%2.06fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.03%48.75%48.61%50.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.901.911.9856.18%52.57%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burgos CF (Visit)
Prediction 22.05%4.53fair odd
EV +3.21%
Edge +0.686%
Kelly +0.872%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 4.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.01%21.95%22.03%23.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.124.104.6826.67%24.26%24.39%21.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.30%3.41fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.640%
Kelly -0.914%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.41%29.30%29.36%30.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.093.103.3435.09%32.38%32.26%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oviedo (Local): 48.65%; Burgos CF (Visit): 22.05%; Draw: 29.30%. For Burgos CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.53. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.72%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.61%EV +3.21%E +0.686%K +0.872%G +0.028% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -10.98%E -6.00%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +1.44%E +0.314%K +0.401%G +0.006% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 13:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -0.761%E -0.169%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.95%EV -9.03%E -4.83%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.97%E -0.674%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.83%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -2.97%E -0.674%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -9.03%E -4.83%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -2.97%E -0.674%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 14:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -4.51%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.76%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.17%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.76%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.17%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.76%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.17%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.43%EV -7.57%E -3.98%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -5.17%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.64%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.03%E -4.83%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -10.98%E -6.00%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -10.00%E -5.41%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -15.03%E -5.18%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.63%EV -10.00%E -5.41%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.68%EV -8.48%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.69%EV -11.22%E -3.70%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.16%EV -7.57%E -3.98%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.58%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.16%EV -7.57%E -3.98%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.58%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -7.57%E -3.98%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -9.58%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.04%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.49%EV -10.68%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -2.14%E -0.640%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -7.57%E -3.98%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 14:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.03%E -4.83%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -6.60%E -3.44%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -6.60%E -3.44%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -6.60%E -3.44%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -6.60%E -3.44%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -8.54%E -4.54%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -10.00%E -5.41%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -15.03%E -5.18%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -13.41%E -7.53%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -10.64%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.46%EV -8.54%E -4.54%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -12.89%E -3.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.47%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.92%EV -13.41%E -7.53%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.05%EV -12.89%E -3.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.99%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.99%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.99%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.99%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.64%EV -10.49%E -5.70%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -13.99%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.18%EV -8.54%E -4.54%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -13.99%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -13.57%E -4.60%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.32%EV -9.03%E -4.83%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -13.99%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.99%EV -13.57%E -4.60%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.32%EV -9.03%E -4.83%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -13.99%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.99%EV -13.57%E -4.60%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.22%EV -11.95%E -6.60%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -17.30%E -4.61%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.99%EV -16.50%E -5.79%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.99% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.00% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01% | 0.1% | 2026-09-06 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.94% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 0.2% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.94% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 0.2% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |