The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oviedo v Burgos CF

2026-09-06 14:15 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oviedo (Local)

Prediction 47.04%2.13fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -3.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%47.05%47.10%48.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.951.952.0455.25%51.39%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Burgos CF (Visit)

Prediction 23.11%4.33fair odd
EV +0.772%
Edge +0.177%
Kelly +0.230%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.78%23.14%23.09%24.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.903.954.3627.78%25.64%25.32%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.84%3.35fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.82%29.81%29.81%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.053.023.2434.48%32.75%33.06%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Oviedo (Local): 47.04%; Burgos CF (Visit): 23.11%; Draw: 29.84%. For Burgos CF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.36, producing a positive expected value of +0.772%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.45%EV -7.80%E -3.98%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.78%EV +0.772%E +0.177%K +0.230%G +0.002%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.77%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 18:35
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.08%EV -4.03%E -1.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.44%EV -1.08%E -0.252%K -0.328%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 18:40
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.74%E -4.50%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -6.39%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 03:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -7.80%E -3.98%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:39
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 03:49
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 18:39
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 03:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 03:49
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.04%EV -11.09%E -5.87%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.62%EV -9.17%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.34%EV -12.56%E -4.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 18:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.74%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.26%EV -7.33%E -3.72%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 21:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 03:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-31 20:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -12.97%E -7.01%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 03:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 47.70%EV -14.85%E -8.21%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -13.33%E -3.55%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.27%EV -11.96%E -4.05%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-31 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -14.48%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -9.68%E -5.04%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -14.48%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -11.56%E -6.15%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -15.64%E -4.28%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-31 18:40
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -16.79%E -4.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -16.79%E -4.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 14:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -16.79%E -4.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -16.79%E -4.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 14:40
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.68%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -16.79%E -4.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-31 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.07%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%4.0%2026-09-01 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%5.0%2026-08-31 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%5.0%2026-09-01 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%5.0%2026-08-31 21:35
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 47.27%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%6.3%2026-09-01 02:40