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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Oviedo v Burgos CF

2026-09-06 14:15 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Oviedo (主队)

预测 47.04%2.13公平赔率
EV -4.03%
优势 -1.98%
Kelly -3.88%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.04

博彩公司预测分布
45.31%47.05%47.10%48.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.811.951.952.0455.25%51.39%51.28%49.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Burgos CF (客队)

预测 23.11%4.33公平赔率
EV +0.772%
优势 +0.177%
Kelly +0.230%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 4.36

博彩公司预测分布
21.78%23.14%23.09%24.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.903.954.3627.78%25.64%25.32%22.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.84%3.35公平赔率
EV -3.30%
优势 -1.02%
Kelly -1.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.24

博彩公司预测分布
28.82%29.81%29.81%30.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.053.023.2434.48%32.75%33.06%30.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Oviedo (主队)：47.04%；Burgos CF (客队)：23.11%；平局：29.84%。 对于“Burgos CF (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.33。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.36，由此产生+0.772%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.45%EV -7.80%E -3.98%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.78%EV +0.772%E +0.177%K +0.230%G +0.002%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.77%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 18:35
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.08%EV -4.03%E -1.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.44%EV -1.08%E -0.252%K -0.328%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 18:40
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.74%E -4.50%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -6.39%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 03:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -7.80%E -3.98%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:39
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 03:49
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 18:39
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 03:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 03:49
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.04%EV -11.09%E -5.87%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.62%EV -9.17%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.34%EV -12.56%E -4.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 18:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.74%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.26%EV -7.33%E -3.72%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 21:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 03:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-31 20:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -12.97%E -7.01%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 03:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 47.70%EV -14.85%E -8.21%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -13.33%E -3.55%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.27%EV -11.96%E -4.05%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-31 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -14.48%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -9.68%E -5.04%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -14.48%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -11.56%E -6.15%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -15.64%E -4.28%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-31 18:40
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -16.79%E -4.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -16.79%E -4.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 14:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -16.79%E -4.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -16.79%E -4.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 14:40
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.68%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -16.79%E -4.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-31 18:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.07%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%4.0%2026-09-01 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%5.0%2026-08-31 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%5.0%2026-09-01 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%5.0%2026-08-31 21:35
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 47.27%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%6.3%2026-09-01 02:40