Szkoła Kursów

Málaga v Sporting Gijón

Początek: 2026-05-09 19:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Málaga 2–1 Sporting Gijón

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Málaga (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 59.05%1.69kurs godziwy
EV -4.94%
Przewaga -3.07%
Kelly -8.09%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.61

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.75%59.01%59.12%60.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.441.551.561.6169.44%64.54%64.10%62.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Sporting Gijón (Goście)

Prognoza 18.02%5.55kurs godziwy
EV +3.59%
Przewaga +0.624%
Kelly +0.756%
Wzrost +0.027%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.45%18.05%17.90%19.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.105.155.7522.22%19.59%19.42%17.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 22.94%4.36kurs godziwy
EV -1.13%
Przewaga -0.263%
Kelly -0.342%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.31

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.12%22.94%22.98%24.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.994.004.3130.30%25.04%25.00%23.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV +3.59%E +0.624%K +0.756%G +0.027%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 18:54
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.11%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.45%EV +2.69%E +0.472%K +0.572%G +0.015%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 18:53
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.22%EV -5.53%E -3.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.42%EV -0.374%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.36%EV -1.13%E -0.263%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 18:45
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -1.36%E -0.317%K -0.412%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 16:19
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 18:55
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:54
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 18:54
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 18:54
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 18:05
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 18:04
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 18:05
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 18:05
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 18:05
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 18:05
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 18:04
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:34
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -4.80%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.39%EV -10.84%E -7.18%K -21.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 18:04
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 18:30
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -10.84%E -7.18%K -21.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 18:04
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 18:05
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 59.24%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -7.22%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:48
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 59.24%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -7.22%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:50
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.12%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:14
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.12%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:15
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.05%EV -13.20%E -8.98%K -28.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -8.12%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-09 18:04
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.98%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.73%EV -8.66%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.29%EV -2.28%E -0.535%K -0.699%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 18:55
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 18:34
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 18:54
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.83%E -3.38%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 18:15
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -10.82%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:34
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -10.82%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:34
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -11.72%E -2.39%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -9.39%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 18:39
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -12.62%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 18:54
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.53%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -13.53%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.02%EV -11.00%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 18:34
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -14.43%E -3.04%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -15.33%E -3.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 18:34
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.85%EV -12.61%E -8.52%K -26.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.53%EV -15.33%E -3.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-09 18:35
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.93%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-09 18:44
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -18.93%E -4.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.83%E -3.38%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 18:29
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.89%EV -10.25%E -6.74%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -18.93%E -4.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 56.94%EV -14.98%E -10.40%K -34.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.22%EV -18.93%E -4.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.84%EV -24.30%E -7.36%K -10.57%G +0.000%22.0%2026-05-09 18:39
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.76%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17%0.4%2026-05-09 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-05-09 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-05-09 18:55
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.73%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-05-09 18:55
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-05-09 17:30