L’École des cotesMálaga v Sporting Gijón
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Málaga (Local)
Prévision 59.05%1.69cote équitable
EV -4.94%
Avantage -3.07%
Kelly -8.09%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.75%59.01%59.12%60.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.551.561.6169.44%64.54%64.10%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sporting Gijón (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.02%5.55cote équitable
EV +3.59%
Avantage +0.624%
Kelly +0.756%
Croissance +0.027%
avec la cote maximale 5.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.45%18.05%17.90%19.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.105.155.7522.22%19.59%19.42%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.94%4.36cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.263%
Kelly -0.342%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.12%22.94%22.98%24.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.994.004.3130.30%25.04%25.00%23.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV +3.59%E +0.624%K +0.756%G +0.027% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.11%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.45%EV +2.69%E +0.472%K +0.572%G +0.015% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 18:53 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.22%EV -5.53%E -3.45%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.42%EV -0.374%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.36%EV -1.13%E -0.263%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 18:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -1.36%E -0.317%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 16:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 18:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -4.80%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.39%EV -10.84%E -7.18%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -10.84%E -7.18%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.24%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -7.22%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:48 |
| BetAnything | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.24%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -7.22%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.12%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.12%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.05%EV -13.20%E -8.98%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -8.12%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-09 18:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.98%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.73%EV -8.66%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.29%EV -2.28%E -0.535%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.83%E -3.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -10.82%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -10.82%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -11.72%E -2.39%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -9.39%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -12.62%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.53%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -13.53%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.02%EV -11.00%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -14.43%E -3.04%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -15.33%E -3.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.85%EV -12.61%E -8.52%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.53%EV -15.33%E -3.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-09 18:35 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.93%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -18.93%E -4.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.83%E -3.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.89%EV -10.25%E -6.74%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -18.93%E -4.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 56.94%EV -14.98%E -10.40%K -34.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.22%EV -18.93%E -4.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 24.84%EV -24.30%E -7.36%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 22.0% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.76% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 0.4% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.73% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 17:30 |