La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Málaga v Sporting Gijón
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Málaga (Casa)
Previsione 59.05%1.69quota equa
EV -4.94%
Vantaggio -3.07%
Kelly -8.09%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.75%59.01%59.12%60.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.551.561.6169.44%64.54%64.10%62.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Sporting Gijón (Trasferta)
Previsione 18.02%5.55quota equa
EV +3.59%
Vantaggio +0.624%
Kelly +0.756%
Crescita +0.027%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.45%18.05%17.90%19.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.105.155.7522.22%19.59%19.42%17.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 22.94%4.36quota equa
EV -1.13%
Vantaggio -0.263%
Kelly -0.342%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.31
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.12%22.94%22.98%24.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.994.004.3130.30%25.04%25.00%23.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV +3.59%E +0.624%K +0.756%G +0.027% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.11%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.45%EV +2.69%E +0.472%K +0.572%G +0.015% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 18:53 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.22%EV -5.53%E -3.45%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.42%EV -0.374%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.36%EV -1.13%E -0.263%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 18:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -1.36%E -0.317%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 16:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 18:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -4.80%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.39%EV -10.84%E -7.18%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -10.84%E -7.18%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.24%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -7.22%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:48 |
| BetAnything | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.24%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -7.22%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.12%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.12%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.05%EV -13.20%E -8.98%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -8.12%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-09 18:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.98%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.73%EV -8.66%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.29%EV -2.28%E -0.535%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.83%E -3.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -10.82%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -10.82%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -11.72%E -2.39%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -9.39%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -12.62%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.53%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -13.53%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.02%EV -11.00%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -14.43%E -3.04%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -15.33%E -3.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.85%EV -12.61%E -8.52%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.53%EV -15.33%E -3.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-09 18:35 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.93%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -18.93%E -4.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.83%E -3.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.89%EV -10.25%E -6.74%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -18.93%E -4.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 56.94%EV -14.98%E -10.40%K -34.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.22%EV -18.93%E -4.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 24.84%EV -24.30%E -7.36%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 22.0% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.76% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 0.4% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.73% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 17:30 |