La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Málaga v Sporting Gijón
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Málaga (Local)
Predicción 59.05%1.69momio equitativo
EV -4.94%
Ventaja -3.07%
Kelly -8.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.75%59.01%59.12%60.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.551.561.6169.44%64.54%64.10%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sporting Gijón (Visitante)
Predicción 18.02%5.55momio equitativo
EV +3.59%
Ventaja +0.624%
Kelly +0.756%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.45%18.05%17.90%19.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.105.155.7522.22%19.59%19.42%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.94%4.36momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.263%
Kelly -0.342%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.12%22.94%22.98%24.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.994.004.3130.30%25.04%25.00%23.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV +3.59%E +0.624%K +0.756%G +0.027% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.11%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.45%EV +2.69%E +0.472%K +0.572%G +0.015% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 18:53 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.22%EV -5.53%E -3.45%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.42%EV -0.374%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.36%EV -1.13%E -0.263%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 18:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -1.36%E -0.317%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 16:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -0.914%E -0.166%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -2.72%E -0.503%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.52%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 18:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -4.80%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.39%EV -10.84%E -7.18%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -5.42%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -10.84%E -7.18%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -6.32%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 18:05 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.24%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -7.22%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:48 |
| BetAnything | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.24%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -7.22%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.12%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.12%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.65%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.05%EV -13.20%E -8.98%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -8.12%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-09 18:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.98%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.73%EV -8.66%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.29%EV -2.28%E -0.535%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -9.92%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.83%E -3.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -10.82%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -10.82%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -11.72%E -2.39%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -9.39%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -12.62%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.53%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -9.66%E -6.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -13.53%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.02%EV -11.00%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -14.43%E -3.04%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -15.33%E -3.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.85%EV -12.61%E -8.52%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.53%EV -15.33%E -3.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-09 18:35 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.93%EV -11.43%E -7.62%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -17.13%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -18.93%E -4.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.83%E -3.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.89%EV -10.25%E -6.74%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -18.93%E -4.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 56.94%EV -14.98%E -10.40%K -34.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.22%EV -18.93%E -4.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 24.84%EV -24.30%E -7.36%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 22.0% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.76% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 0.4% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.73% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 17:30 |