L’École des cotesMálaga v Las Palmas
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Málaga (Local)
Prévision 38.43%2.60cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.79%38.45%38.40%39.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.392.402.5344.44%41.77%41.67%39.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Las Palmas (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.20%3.11cote équitable
EV +1.74%
Avantage +0.551%
Kelly +0.807%
Croissance +0.014%
avec la cote maximale 3.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.45%31.99%32.31%33.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.842.823.1640.00%35.19%35.46%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.37%3.40cote équitable
EV -0.133%
Avantage -0.039%
Kelly -0.056%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.09%29.57%29.28%31.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.083.103.4036.36%32.42%32.26%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.25%EV -2.77%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.63%EV +1.74%E +0.551%K +0.807%G +0.014% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -8.65%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.66%EV -5.46%E -2.22%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.70%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.63%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -8.92%E -3.76%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -13.35%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -13.35%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.82%E -5.11%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -7.38%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.20%EV -3.73%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 16:28 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.02%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%EV -7.00%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.11%EV -5.34%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.11%EV -13.64%E -4.64%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -0.133%E -0.039%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -14.82%E -5.11%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.82%E -5.11%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.82%E -5.11%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -3.92%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -14.82%E -5.11%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.00%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -9.20%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.00%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -9.20%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| betPARX | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%EV -10.81%E -3.90%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.98%EV -9.53%E -3.09%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 16:28 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.07%E -4.84%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.99%EV -10.84%E -4.67%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -13.07%E -4.84%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.75%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.52%EV -14.03%E -5.26%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.73%EV -14.23%E -4.87%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-11 16:28 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.77%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.78%EV -14.68%E -5.54%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.45%EV -13.35%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.79%EV -13.53%E -6.01%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.11%EV -19.51%E -7.80%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.10%EV -19.23%E -6.99%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.77% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |