La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Málaga v Las Palmas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Málaga (Local)
Predicción 38.43%2.60momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.79%38.45%38.40%39.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.392.402.5344.44%41.77%41.67%39.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Las Palmas (Visitante)
Predicción 32.20%3.11momio equitativo
EV +1.74%
Ventaja +0.551%
Kelly +0.807%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.45%31.99%32.31%33.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.842.823.1640.00%35.19%35.46%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.37%3.40momio equitativo
EV -0.133%
Ventaja -0.039%
Kelly -0.056%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.09%29.57%29.28%31.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.083.103.4036.36%32.42%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.25%EV -2.77%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.63%EV +1.74%E +0.551%K +0.807%G +0.014% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -8.65%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.66%EV -5.46%E -2.22%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.70%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.63%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -8.92%E -3.76%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -13.35%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -13.35%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.82%E -5.11%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -7.38%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.20%EV -3.73%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 16:28 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.02%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%EV -7.00%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.11%EV -5.34%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.11%EV -13.64%E -4.64%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -0.133%E -0.039%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -14.82%E -5.11%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.82%E -5.11%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.82%E -5.11%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -3.92%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -14.82%E -5.11%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.00%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -9.20%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.00%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -9.20%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| betPARX | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%EV -10.81%E -3.90%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.98%EV -9.53%E -3.09%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 16:28 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.07%E -4.84%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.99%EV -10.84%E -4.67%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -13.07%E -4.84%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.75%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.52%EV -14.03%E -5.26%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.73%EV -14.23%E -4.87%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-11 16:28 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.77%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.78%EV -14.68%E -5.54%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.45%EV -13.35%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.79%EV -13.53%E -6.01%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.11%EV -19.51%E -7.80%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.10%EV -19.23%E -6.99%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.77% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |