مدرسة الاحتمالات

Málaga v Las Palmas

البداية: 2026-04-11 16:32 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Málaga (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.43%2.60السعر العادل
EV -2.77%
الأفضلية -1.10%
Kelly -1.81%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.79%38.45%38.40%39.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.392.402.5344.44%41.77%41.67%39.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Las Palmas (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.20%3.11السعر العادل
EV +1.74%
الأفضلية +0.551%
Kelly +0.807%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.45%31.99%32.31%33.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.842.823.1640.00%35.19%35.46%31.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.37%3.40السعر العادل
EV -0.133%
الأفضلية -0.039%
Kelly -0.056%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.09%29.57%29.28%31.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.083.103.4036.36%32.42%32.26%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 38.25%EV -2.77%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.63%EV +1.74%E +0.551%K +0.807%G +0.014%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -8.65%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 16:29
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.66%EV -5.46%E -2.22%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.70%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.63%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:29
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 16:30
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -8.92%E -3.76%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -13.35%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:30
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -13.35%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:29
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.82%E -5.11%K -7.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 16:30
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -7.38%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.20%EV -3.73%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:28
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.02%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 16:30
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%EV -7.00%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.11%EV -5.34%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.11%EV -13.64%E -4.64%K -7.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 16:30
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -0.133%E -0.039%K -0.056%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 16:29
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:30
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -14.82%E -5.11%K -7.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 16:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.82%E -5.11%K -7.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 16:29
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.82%E -5.11%K -7.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 16:30
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 16:30
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 16:30
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 16:30
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -3.92%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 16:29
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 16:29
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 16:30
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -14.82%E -5.11%K -7.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 16:30
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.00%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -9.20%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:29
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.00%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -9.20%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 16:29
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 16:30
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 16:30
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 16:30
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 16:30
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 16:30
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 16:30
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 16:30
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 16:29
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%EV -10.81%E -3.90%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.98%EV -9.53%E -3.09%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 16:28
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 16:30
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 16:30
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 16:29
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 16:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.07%E -4.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 16:30
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.99%EV -10.84%E -4.67%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -13.07%E -4.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 16:30
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.75%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.52%EV -14.03%E -5.26%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.73%EV -14.23%E -4.87%K -7.41%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 16:28
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.77%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.78%EV -14.68%E -5.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.45%EV -13.35%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 36.79%EV -13.53%E -6.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.11%EV -19.51%E -7.80%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.10%EV -19.23%E -6.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%20.8%2026-04-11 16:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-04-11 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-04-11 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-04-11 16:30
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-04-11 16:30
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-04-11 16:30
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.77%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%4.0%2026-04-11 16:30