The School of Odds
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Leganés v Mallorca

2026-10-24 14:15 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leganés (Local)

Prediction 29.85%3.35fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.68%29.87%29.87%31.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.053.2035.71%32.90%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mallorca (Visit)

Prediction 41.18%2.43fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.832%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.63%41.16%41.14%42.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.222.212.3851.28%45.05%45.25%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.96%3.45fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.78%28.97%28.99%29.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.143.113.3034.48%31.81%32.15%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leganés (Local): 29.85%; Mallorca (Visit): 41.18%; Draw: 28.96%. For Mallorca (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.38, with an expected value of -1.98%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.98%EV -3.63%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.06%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 16:10
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 16:10
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.19%EV -5.67%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.09%EV -1.98%E -0.832%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.72%EV -7.03%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.28%E -2.29%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 16:09
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 14:20
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -8.57%E -3.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 16:10
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -8.57%E -3.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.96%EV -6.51%E -2.87%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 16:05
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 14:20
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 14:20
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 14:20
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 14:19
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -11.45%E -5.33%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 16:09
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 16:10
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 16:09
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 16:10
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.63%E -3.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 16:08
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.63%E -3.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 16:10
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.96%EV -10.22%E -4.69%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.96%EV -10.22%E -4.69%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.07%EV -10.63%E -4.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-17 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -1.98%E -0.832%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 16:10
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -5.28%E -2.29%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -13.51%E -6.43%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-17 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.65%EV -19.69%E -10.10%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -16.01%E -5.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-17 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.75%EV -14.03%E -4.87%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.20%EV -14.34%E -6.89%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -14.56%E -4.93%K -7.47%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-17 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -14.92%E -5.24%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.04%EV -13.51%E -6.43%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-17 17:40
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -16.41%E -5.86%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -11.45%E -5.33%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-17 17:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 29.49%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.49%16.1%2026-10-17 16:10