Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leganés v Mallorca

2026-10-24 14:15 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Frente a frente

34 casas de apostas (8 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leganés (Local)

Previsão 29.85%3.35odd justa
EV -4.47%
Vantagem -1.40%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.68%29.87%29.87%31.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.043.053.2035.71%32.90%32.79%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mallorca (Visitante)

Previsão 41.18%2.43odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -0.832%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.63%41.16%41.14%42.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.222.212.3851.28%45.05%45.25%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.96%3.45odd justa
EV -4.42%
Vantagem -1.34%
Kelly -1.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.78%28.97%28.99%29.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.143.113.3034.48%31.81%32.15%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Leganés (Local): 29.85%; Mallorca (Visitante): 41.18%; Empate: 28.96%. Para Mallorca (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.43. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.38, com valor esperado de -1.98%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (34 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.98%EV -3.63%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.06%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 16:10
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 16:10
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.19%EV -5.67%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.09%EV -1.98%E -0.832%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.72%EV -7.03%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.28%E -2.29%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 16:09
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 14:20
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -8.57%E -3.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 16:10
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -8.57%E -3.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.96%EV -6.51%E -2.87%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 16:05
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 14:20
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 14:20
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 14:20
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 14:19
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -11.45%E -5.33%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 16:09
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 16:10
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 16:09
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 16:10
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.63%E -3.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 16:08
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.63%E -3.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 16:10
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.96%EV -10.22%E -4.69%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.96%EV -10.22%E -4.69%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.07%EV -10.63%E -4.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-17 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -1.98%E -0.832%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 16:10
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -5.28%E -2.29%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -13.51%E -6.43%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-17 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.65%EV -19.69%E -10.10%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -16.01%E -5.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-17 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.75%EV -14.03%E -4.87%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.20%EV -14.34%E -6.89%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -14.56%E -4.93%K -7.47%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-17 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -14.92%E -5.24%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.04%EV -13.51%E -6.43%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-17 17:40
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -16.41%E -5.86%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -11.45%E -5.33%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-17 17:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 29.49%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.49%16.1%2026-10-17 16:10