Idioma:Español
Leganés v Mallorca
Resultado del partido
Leganés (Local)
Predicción 29.85%3.35momio equitativo
EV -4.47%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.68%29.87%29.87%31.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.053.2035.71%32.90%32.79%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mallorca (Visitante)
Predicción 41.18%2.43momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.832%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.63%41.16%41.14%42.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.222.212.3851.28%45.05%45.25%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.96%3.45momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.78%28.97%28.99%29.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.143.113.3034.48%31.81%32.15%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Leganés (Local): 29.85%; Mallorca (Visitante): 41.18%; Empate: 28.96%. Para Mallorca (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.43. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.38, con un valor esperado de -1.98%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (34 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.98%EV -3.63%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.06%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.19%EV -5.67%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.09%EV -1.98%E -0.832%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.72%EV -7.03%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.28%E -2.29%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 16:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -8.57%E -3.86%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -8.57%E -3.86%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.96%EV -6.51%E -2.87%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 14:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -11.45%E -5.33%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-17 16:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 16:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 16:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.63%E -3.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 16:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.63%E -3.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 16:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.96%EV -10.22%E -4.69%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.96%EV -10.22%E -4.69%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.07%EV -10.63%E -4.90%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -1.98%E -0.832%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -5.28%E -2.29%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-17 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -13.51%E -6.43%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.65%EV -19.69%E -10.10%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -16.01%E -5.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-10-17 16:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.75%EV -14.03%E -4.87%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 41.20%EV -14.34%E -6.89%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -14.56%E -4.93%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -14.92%E -5.24%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.04%EV -13.51%E -6.43%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -16.41%E -5.86%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -11.45%E -5.33%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-10-17 17:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.49% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.49% | 16.1% | 2026-10-17 16:10 |