Language:English
Leganés v Granada CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leganés (Local)
Prediction 44.82%2.23fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.03%44.74%45.03%46.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.052.052.1553.19%48.88%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Granada CF (Visit)
Prediction 25.16%3.97fair odd
EV +0.892%
Edge +0.222%
Kelly +0.296%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.60%25.27%24.98%27.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.613.604.0131.25%27.73%27.78%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.02%3.33fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.754%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.18%29.99%29.99%31.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.063.053.2534.72%32.69%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leganés (Local): 44.82%; Granada CF (Visit): 25.16%; Draw: 30.02%. For Granada CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.892%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.80%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.10%EV +0.892%E +0.222%K +0.296%G +0.003% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.10%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.94%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV +0.641%E +0.160%K +0.214%G +0.001% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.29%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -6.77%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.88%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -6.77%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.88%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -6.77%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.88%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -1.88%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 18:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -11.70%E -5.94%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -1.88%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 18:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -6.77%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.13%E -0.814%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.23%EV -9.01%E -4.44%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.80%EV -9.01%E -4.44%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.59%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.61%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 18:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -13.55%E -4.71%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 18:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 18:33 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 18:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 18:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 18:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 18:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 18:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.55%E -4.71%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-20 18:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.52%EV -13.49%E -6.99%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.40%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.08%EV -12.35%E -4.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-20 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 18:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 18:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 18:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 18:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -11.25%E -5.68%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-20 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -11.25%E -5.68%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-20 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -12.14%E -6.20%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 18:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 17:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.03%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -15.71%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -15.71%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.91%EV -10.55%E -3.54%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 18:33 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.26%EV -15.73%E -8.37%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.40%EV -15.71%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.34%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-09-20 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.97%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.97%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.97%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.97%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -18.23%E -5.61%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-20 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.21%EV -13.94%E -7.26%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.52%EV -19.49%E -6.09%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-09-20 18:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.98% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.96% | -0.0% | 2026-09-20 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 18:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.99% | 2.4% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |