Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leganés v Granada CF

2026-09-20 19:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leganés (Local)

Prediction 46.86%2.13fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.11%46.82%46.88%47.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.982.0754.64%50.68%50.51%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Granada CF (Visit)

Prediction 23.47%4.26fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -0.899%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.98%23.54%23.40%25.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.743.754.1430.30%26.76%26.67%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.67%3.37fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.915%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.62%29.64%29.72%30.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.103.103.2735.09%32.22%32.26%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leganés (Local): 46.86%; Granada CF (Visit): 23.47%; Draw: 29.67%. For Granada CF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.14, with an expected value of -2.82%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -3.00%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -14.32%E -3.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.58%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -3.00%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -14.32%E -3.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.58%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -3.00%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -14.32%E -3.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.58%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -3.00%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -14.32%E -3.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.58%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 19:31
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -3.00%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -14.32%E -3.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.58%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:15
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.63%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.98%EV -2.82%E -0.682%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.39%EV -7.14%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 20:56
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.31%EV -4.87%E -2.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.31%EV -3.29%E -0.799%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -2.99%E -0.915%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 20:26
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.76%E -0.917%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.58%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 20:56
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -17.84%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.03%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 19:31
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -17.84%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.03%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 19:30
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -17.84%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.03%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 19:30
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -17.84%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.03%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 21:10
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.28%EV -6.75%E -3.39%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 23:32
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.22%E -3.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -7.28%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 19:46
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.22%E -3.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -7.28%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 19:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -7.22%E -3.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -19.02%E -5.51%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -8.03%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -7.22%E -3.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -19.02%E -5.51%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -8.03%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.68%E -3.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -5.66%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 20:15
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.15%E -4.16%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.23%EV -8.15%E -4.16%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -19.02%E -5.51%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%EV -9.52%E -3.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 19:31
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 19:50
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -11.98%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 19:45
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.77%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.23%EV -7.44%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 00:10
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.77%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.23%EV -7.44%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.63%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.52%E -3.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 19:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 20:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.77%EV -9.56%E -4.95%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.09%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.50%E -5.50%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.03%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 19:50
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -10.50%E -5.50%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -17.84%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-13 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 45.18%EV -11.43%E -6.05%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.88%EV -22.54%E -6.83%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.95%EV -12.48%E -4.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-13 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -11.90%E -6.33%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -14.32%E -3.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -12.37%E -6.62%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -11.98%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -12.48%E -4.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 19:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.42%EV -12.84%E -6.90%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -16.67%E -4.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.27%EV -12.48%E -4.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-13 19:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -14.24%E -7.78%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.39%EV -14.32%E -3.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.96%EV -15.45%E -5.42%K -8.35%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-13 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 46.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.09%16.2%2026-09-13 19:51