L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Leganés v Granada CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 19:01 UTC

Score final : Leganés 3–2 Granada CF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leganés (Local)

Prévision 44.82%2.23cote équitable
EV -3.63%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -3.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.03%44.74%45.03%46.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.882.052.052.1553.19%48.88%48.78%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Granada CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.16%3.97cote équitable
EV +0.892%
Avantage +0.222%
Kelly +0.296%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.60%25.27%24.98%27.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.613.604.0131.25%27.73%27.78%24.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.02%3.33cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -0.754%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.18%29.99%29.99%31.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.063.053.2534.72%32.69%32.79%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Leganés (Local) : 44.82% ; Granada CF (Visiteur) : 25.16% ; Match nul : 30.02%. Pour Granada CF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.97. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.01, soit une espérance positive de +0.892%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.80%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.10%EV +0.892%E +0.222%K +0.296%G +0.003%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.10%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 18:49
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.94%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV +0.641%E +0.160%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.29%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -6.77%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.88%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -6.77%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.88%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 18:55
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -6.77%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.88%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 18:54
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -1.88%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 18:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -11.70%E -5.94%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -1.88%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:39
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -6.77%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.13%E -0.814%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 18:59
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 18:54
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.23%EV -9.01%E -4.44%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 18:54
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.80%EV -9.01%E -4.44%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.59%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.61%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 18:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 18:59
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -13.55%E -4.71%K -7.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 18:34
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 18:33
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 18:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 18:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 18:04
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 18:59
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:49
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 18:59
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 18:55
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 18:58
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 18:49
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.55%E -4.71%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 18:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.52%EV -13.49%E -6.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.40%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.08%EV -12.35%E -4.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-20 18:54
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 18:45
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 18:04
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 18:04
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 18:04
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 18:04
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -11.25%E -5.68%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 18:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -11.25%E -5.68%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -12.14%E -6.20%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 18:04
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 17:34
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 17:34
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 17:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.03%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -15.71%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -15.71%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.91%EV -10.55%E -3.54%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 18:33
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.26%EV -15.73%E -8.37%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.40%EV -15.71%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.34%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%17.5%2026-09-20 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.97%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.97%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 17:35
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.97%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 17:34
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.97%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -18.23%E -5.61%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.21%EV -13.94%E -7.26%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.52%EV -19.49%E -6.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-20 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.98%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.96%-0.0%2026-09-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%0.5%2026-09-20 18:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%0.5%2026-09-20 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%0.5%2026-09-20 18:34
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-09-20 18:55
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.99%2.4%2026-09-20 18:59