Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leganés v Granada CF

2026-09-20 19:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leganés (Local)

Prévision 46.88%2.13cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -2.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.11%46.84%46.86%47.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.971.982.0754.64%50.77%50.51%48.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Granada CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.43%4.27cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -0.721%
Kelly -0.951%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.98%23.50%23.36%25.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.743.754.1430.30%26.76%26.67%24.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.68%3.37cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -0.897%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.62%29.66%29.78%30.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.103.103.2735.09%32.27%32.26%30.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Leganés (Local) : 46.88% ; Granada CF (Visiteur) : 23.43% ; Match nul : 29.68%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.37. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.27, pour une espérance de -2.93% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -2.95%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -14.47%E -3.96%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -2.95%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -14.47%E -3.96%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -2.95%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -14.47%E -3.96%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -2.95%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -14.47%E -3.96%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 19:31
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -2.95%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -14.47%E -3.96%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:15
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.63%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.98%EV -2.99%E -0.721%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.39%EV -7.09%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 20:56
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.31%EV -4.83%E -2.38%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.31%EV -3.45%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -2.93%E -0.897%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 20:26
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.92%E -0.957%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -5.01%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.27%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.95%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.01%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.61%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 20:56
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -17.98%E -5.14%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 19:31
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -17.98%E -5.14%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 19:30
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -17.98%E -5.14%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 19:30
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -17.98%E -5.14%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 21:10
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.28%EV -6.70%E -3.37%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.27%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 23:32
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.17%E -3.62%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -7.44%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 19:46
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.17%E -3.62%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -7.44%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 19:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -7.17%E -3.62%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -19.16%E -5.55%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -7.17%E -3.62%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -19.16%E -5.55%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -7.64%E -3.88%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.27%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -5.61%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 20:15
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.11%E -4.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.95%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.01%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.23%EV -8.11%E -4.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -19.16%E -5.55%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 19:31
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.58%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.95%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -5.01%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 19:50
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.58%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.13%E -3.23%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.01%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 19:45
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.77%EV -8.58%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.95%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.23%EV -7.39%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 00:10
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.77%EV -8.58%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.95%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.23%EV -7.39%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -8.58%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.78%E -2.54%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 19:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.58%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -10.95%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 20:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.77%EV -9.52%E -4.93%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -8.61%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.09%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.45%E -5.47%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -10.95%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 19:50
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -10.45%E -5.47%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -17.98%E -5.14%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-13 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 45.18%EV -11.39%E -6.03%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.88%EV -22.67%E -6.87%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.95%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.38%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-13 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -11.86%E -6.31%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -14.47%E -3.96%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -12.33%E -6.59%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -12.13%E -3.23%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 19:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.42%EV -12.80%E -6.88%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -16.81%E -4.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.27%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.38%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-13 19:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.02%EV -13.27%E -7.17%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV -12.13%E -3.23%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.79%EV -13.32%E -4.56%K -6.94%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-14 01:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -14.20%E -7.76%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.39%EV -14.47%E -3.96%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.96%EV -15.40%E -5.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-13 19:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 46.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.09%16.2%2026-09-13 19:51