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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Leganés v Granada CF

Inizio: 2026-09-20 19:01 UTC

Finale: Leganés 3–2 Granada CF

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

51 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Leganés (Casa)

Previsione 44.82%2.23quota equa
EV -3.63%
Vantaggio -1.69%
Kelly -3.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.03%44.74%45.03%46.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.882.052.052.1553.19%48.88%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Granada CF (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.16%3.97quota equa
EV +0.892%
Vantaggio +0.222%
Kelly +0.296%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.60%25.27%24.98%27.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.613.604.0131.25%27.73%27.78%24.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 30.02%3.33quota equa
EV -2.45%
Vantaggio -0.754%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.18%29.99%29.99%31.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.063.053.2534.72%32.69%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Leganés (Casa): 44.82%; Granada CF (Trasferta): 25.16%; Pareggio: 30.02%. Per Granada CF (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.97. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.01, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.892%.

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.80%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.10%EV +0.892%E +0.222%K +0.296%G +0.003%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.10%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 18:49
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.94%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV +0.641%E +0.160%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.29%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -6.77%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.88%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -6.77%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.88%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 18:55
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -6.77%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.88%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 18:54
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -1.88%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 18:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -11.70%E -5.94%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -1.88%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:39
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -6.77%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.13%E -0.814%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 18:59
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 18:54
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.23%EV -9.01%E -4.44%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 18:54
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.80%EV -9.01%E -4.44%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.59%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.61%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 18:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 18:59
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -13.55%E -4.71%K -7.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 18:34
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 18:33
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 18:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 18:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 18:04
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -7.21%E -3.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 18:59
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:49
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 18:59
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 18:55
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 18:58
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 18:49
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.55%E -4.71%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 18:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.52%EV -13.49%E -6.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.40%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.08%EV -12.35%E -4.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-20 18:54
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 18:45
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 18:04
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 18:04
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 18:04
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -10.35%E -5.18%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 18:04
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -11.25%E -5.68%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 18:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -11.25%E -5.68%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -12.14%E -6.20%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 18:04
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 17:34
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 17:34
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 17:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.03%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -15.71%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -15.71%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.91%EV -10.55%E -3.54%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 18:33
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.26%EV -15.73%E -8.37%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.40%EV -15.71%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.34%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%17.5%2026-09-20 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.97%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.97%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 17:35
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.97%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 17:34
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.97%E -5.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -18.23%E -5.61%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.21%EV -13.94%E -7.26%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.52%EV -19.49%E -6.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-20 18:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.98%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.96%-0.0%2026-09-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%0.5%2026-09-20 18:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%0.5%2026-09-20 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%0.5%2026-09-20 18:34
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-09-20 18:55
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.99%2.4%2026-09-20 18:59