Language:English
Leganés v CD Eldense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leganés (Local)
Prediction 50.25%1.99fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.89%50.35%50.11%52.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.821.831.9559.52%54.99%54.64%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CD Eldense (Visit)
Prediction 22.26%4.49fair odd
EV +2.83%
Edge +0.613%
Kelly +0.782%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 4.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.43%22.18%22.30%23.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.134.104.6226.32%24.19%24.39%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.49%3.64fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.675%
Kelly -0.939%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.40%27.47%27.59%28.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.303.5532.26%30.10%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leganés (Local): 50.25%; CD Eldense (Visit): 22.26%; Draw: 27.49%. For CD Eldense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.49. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.44%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.93%EV +2.83%E +0.613%K +0.782%G +0.022% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 16:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -12.07%E -6.89%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +0.160%E +0.036%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.07%E -0.470%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.07%E -0.470%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.07%E -0.470%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.07%E -0.470%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -2.07%E -0.470%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.76%EV -8.55%E -4.70%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -3.18%E -0.731%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 16:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.04%E -3.23%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.29%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -9.05%E -5.00%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -4.29%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 16:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -4.53%E -2.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 16:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 16:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 16:56 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -6.04%E -3.23%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 16:41 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 16:41 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.94%EV -10.56%E -5.93%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.94%EV -10.56%E -5.93%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.94%EV -10.56%E -5.93%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.07%E -6.89%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.07%E -6.89%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 16:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.36%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.83%EV -7.19%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -2.40%E -0.675%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 16:51 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 16:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 16:43 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.74%EV -10.06%E -5.62%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.88%EV -12.07%E -6.89%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -12.57%E -7.22%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -12.57%E -7.22%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.68%EV -14.58%E -8.58%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.69%EV -9.86%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.04%E -3.23%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.04%E -3.81%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.33%EV -8.55%E -4.70%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.23%EV -12.57%E -3.95%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 50.97%EV -15.58%E -9.28%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.41%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.62%EV -14.77%E -4.76%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -2.02%E -1.03%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.08%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 16:51 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.47%EV -13.57%E -7.89%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.98%EV -12.08%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -7.54%E -4.10%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 16:56 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -7.04%E -3.81%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 16:56 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.89%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -15.42%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.73%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.42%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 16:56 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.14% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.09% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.72% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 16:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.72% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 16:51 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.78% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 16:51 |