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Leganés v CD Eldense

2026-08-29 17:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leganés (Local)

Prediction 45.29%2.21fair odd
EV -0.356%
Edge -0.162%
Kelly -0.296%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.83%45.55%44.90%48.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.022.052.2053.48%49.49%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CD Eldense (Visit)

Prediction 27.24%3.67fair odd
EV +1.88%
Edge +0.503%
Kelly +0.686%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.59%27.07%27.38%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.303.7433.33%30.17%30.30%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.47%3.64fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.623%
Kelly -0.867%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.26%27.37%27.72%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.283.273.5633.33%30.49%30.53%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leganés (Local): 45.29%; CD Eldense (Visit): 27.24%; Draw: 27.47%. For CD Eldense (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.74, producing a positive expected value of +1.88%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.81%EV -13.49%E -7.06%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV +1.88%E +0.503%K +0.686%G +0.013%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -2.49%E -0.702%K -0.978%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 19:49
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.29%EV -8.06%E -3.97%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.74%EV +1.61%E +0.431%K +0.589%G +0.009%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.97%EV -2.22%E -0.623%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-24 19:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -15.30%E -8.18%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV +0.790%E +0.213%K +0.293%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.61%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 19:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -12.13%E -6.25%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -1.93%E -0.537%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -3.87%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 19:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -12.13%E -6.25%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -1.93%E -0.537%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -3.87%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 19:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 19:49
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.41%E -4.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 19:48
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -13.49%E -7.06%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -6.61%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-24 19:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.19%EV -12.58%E -6.52%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.38%EV -7.93%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 19:48
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 19:09
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.74%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.62%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.61%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.88%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 19:49
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -5.79%E -2.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 19:49
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 19:48
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 19:49
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -4.88%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 19:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -6.70%E -3.25%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 19:49
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 19:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.25%EV -13.04%E -6.79%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-24 19:49
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -0.356%E -0.162%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.61%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 16:39
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -4.88%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 19:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.41%E -4.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -13.49%E -7.06%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.40%EV -14.19%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.40%EV -13.48%E -4.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-24 19:49
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -2.62%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -15.55%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 18:08
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -15.55%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-24 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -15.55%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-24 19:49
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -15.55%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-24 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -15.55%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-24 19:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.74%EV -11.23%E -5.73%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -15.55%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-24 19:45
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -9.41%E -4.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.28%E -6.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.60%E -5.87%K -8.80%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-24 19:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66%5.1%2026-08-24 19:49
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 43.31%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.58%16.6%2026-08-24 19:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.76%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%184.8%2026-08-24 19:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.76%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%184.8%2026-08-24 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-24 16:39