Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leganés v CD Eldense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 17:00 UTC

Score final : Leganés 1–0 CD Eldense

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leganés (Local)

Prévision 50.25%1.99cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -2.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.89%50.35%50.11%52.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.821.831.9559.52%54.99%54.64%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

CD Eldense (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.26%4.49cote équitable
EV +2.83%
Avantage +0.613%
Kelly +0.782%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 4.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.43%22.18%22.30%23.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.134.104.6226.32%24.19%24.39%21.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.49%3.64cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -0.675%
Kelly -0.939%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.40%27.47%27.59%28.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.323.303.5532.26%30.10%30.30%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Leganés (Local) : 50.25% ; CD Eldense (Visiteur) : 22.26% ; Match nul : 27.49%. Pour CD Eldense (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.49. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.62, soit une espérance positive de +2.83%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.44%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.93%EV +2.83%E +0.613%K +0.782%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 16:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -12.07%E -6.89%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +0.160%E +0.036%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.07%E -0.470%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.07%E -0.470%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.07%E -0.470%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.07%E -0.470%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -2.07%E -0.470%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 16:44
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.76%EV -8.55%E -4.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -3.18%E -0.731%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 16:49
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.04%E -3.23%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.29%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -9.05%E -5.00%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -4.29%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 16:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -4.53%E -2.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:50
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:56
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:56
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:56
BetAnything🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -6.04%E -3.23%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 16:41
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 16:41
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.94%EV -10.56%E -5.93%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.94%EV -10.56%E -5.93%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:35
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.94%EV -10.56%E -5.93%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.07%E -6.89%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.07%E -6.89%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:46
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.36%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.83%EV -7.19%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -2.40%E -0.675%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:51
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:44
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:43
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.74%EV -10.06%E -5.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.88%EV -12.07%E -6.89%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -12.57%E -7.22%K -16.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -12.57%E -7.22%K -16.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.68%EV -14.58%E -8.58%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.69%EV -9.86%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-29 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.04%E -3.23%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.04%E -3.81%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 16:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.33%EV -8.55%E -4.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.23%EV -12.57%E -3.95%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 16:54
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 50.97%EV -15.58%E -9.28%K -22.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.41%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.62%EV -14.77%E -4.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -2.02%E -1.03%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.08%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:51
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.47%EV -13.57%E -7.89%K -18.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.98%EV -12.08%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-29 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -7.54%E -4.10%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 16:56
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -7.04%E -3.81%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 16:56
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.89%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -15.42%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.73%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.42%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 16:56
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 51.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.09%0.3%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-08-29 16:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-08-29 16:51
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.78%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-08-29 16:40
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.56%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.1%2026-08-29 16:51