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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Leganés v CD Eldense

2026-08-29 17:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Leganés (主队)

预测 47.10%2.12公平赔率
EV -4.85%
优势 -2.40%
Kelly -4.75%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
45.08%47.15%47.33%49.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.941.952.0254.64%51.46%51.28%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

CD Eldense (客队)

预测 25.78%3.88公平赔率
EV +0.545%
优势 +0.140%
Kelly +0.188%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
23.37%25.79%25.61%27.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.523.503.9031.75%28.40%28.57%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.11%3.69公平赔率
EV -0.759%
优势 -0.207%
Kelly -0.285%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.66

博彩公司预测分布
26.11%27.06%27.07%28.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.333.303.6632.26%30.00%30.30%27.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Leganés (主队)：47.10%；CD Eldense (客队)：25.78%；平局：27.11%。 对于“CD Eldense (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.88。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.90，由此产生+0.545%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -13.80%E -7.54%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV +0.545%E +0.140%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 19:54
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.29%EV -9.09%E -4.71%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.58%EV -0.229%E -0.059%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.13%EV -1.30%E -0.358%K -0.493%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 21:04
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.78%EV -7.20%E -3.66%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -0.744%E -0.193%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.26%EV -0.759%E -0.207%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.32%E -0.886%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 20:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.58%EV -9.56%E -4.98%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 21:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.73%EV -7.20%E -3.66%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 19:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.73%EV -7.20%E -3.66%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 19:55
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.15%E -4.18%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 20:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.15%E -4.18%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -7.68%E -3.92%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 20:15
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.15%E -4.18%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 20:15
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.15%E -4.18%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 20:13
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.03%E -5.25%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 20:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.03%E -5.25%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 20:14
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.03%E -5.25%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 20:19
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 20:20
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -13.80%E -7.54%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-24 19:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.64%EV -12.86%E -6.95%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.40%EV -10.54%E -3.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.95%EV -11.33%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-24 19:58
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.40%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 19:54
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.40%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 19:55
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 19:50
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 19:48
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.15%E -4.18%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.23%E -4.14%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.15%E -4.18%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.23%E -4.14%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 20:19
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.15%E -4.18%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.23%E -4.14%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.15%E -4.18%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.23%E -4.14%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 20:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.08%EV -5.32%E -2.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -13.63%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.88%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 19:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.94%EV -12.86%E -6.95%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.92%EV -13.63%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -13.23%E -4.14%K -6.01%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-24 19:59
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -10.03%E -5.25%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-24 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.26%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -16.21%E -4.99%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 19:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.24%EV -12.39%E -6.66%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -16.21%E -4.99%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.30%EV -14.59%E -4.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-24 19:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.19%EV -8.62%E -4.44%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -18.79%E -5.97%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.88%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-24 19:54
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-08-24 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%6.8%2026-08-24 20:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%6.8%2026-08-24 20:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%6.8%2026-08-24 20:59
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 41.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 19.73%2.00I 50.00%NM 38.46%30.0%2026-08-24 20:59