默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Leganés v CD Eldense

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 17:00 UTC

最终结果: Leganés 1–0 CD Eldense

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Leganés (主队)

预测 50.25%1.99公平赔率
EV -2.02%
优势 -1.03%
Kelly -2.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布
47.89%50.35%50.11%52.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.821.831.9559.52%54.99%54.64%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

CD Eldense (客队)

预测 22.26%4.49公平赔率
EV +2.83%
优势 +0.613%
Kelly +0.782%
增长率 +0.022%

假设最高赔率为 4.62

博彩公司预测分布
20.43%22.18%22.30%23.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.134.104.6226.32%24.19%24.39%21.65%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.49%3.64公平赔率
EV -2.40%
优势 -0.675%
Kelly -0.939%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.55

博彩公司预测分布
26.40%27.47%27.59%28.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.323.303.5532.26%30.10%30.30%28.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Leganés (主队):50.25%;CD Eldense (客队):22.26%;平局:27.49%。 对于“CD Eldense (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.49。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.62,对应+2.83%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.44%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.93%EV +2.83%E +0.613%K +0.782%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 16:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -12.07%E -6.89%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +0.160%E +0.036%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.07%E -0.470%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.07%E -0.470%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.07%E -0.470%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.07%E -0.470%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -2.07%E -0.470%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 16:44
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.76%EV -8.55%E -4.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -3.18%E -0.731%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 16:49
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.04%E -3.23%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.29%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -9.05%E -5.00%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -4.29%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 16:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -4.53%E -2.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:50
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:56
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:56
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:56
BetAnything🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -6.04%E -3.23%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 16:41
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 16:41
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.94%EV -10.56%E -5.93%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.94%EV -10.56%E -5.93%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:35
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.94%EV -10.56%E -5.93%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.07%E -6.89%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.07%E -6.89%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:46
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.36%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.83%EV -7.19%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -2.40%E -0.675%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:51
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:44
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:43
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.74%EV -10.06%E -5.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.88%EV -12.07%E -6.89%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -12.57%E -7.22%K -16.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -12.57%E -7.22%K -16.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.68%EV -14.58%E -8.58%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.69%EV -9.86%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-29 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.04%E -3.23%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.04%E -3.81%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 16:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.33%EV -8.55%E -4.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.23%EV -12.57%E -3.95%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 16:54
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 50.97%EV -15.58%E -9.28%K -22.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.41%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.62%EV -14.77%E -4.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -2.02%E -1.03%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.08%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:51
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.47%EV -13.57%E -7.89%K -18.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.98%EV -12.08%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-29 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -7.54%E -4.10%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 16:56
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -7.04%E -3.81%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 16:56
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.89%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -15.42%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.73%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.42%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 16:56
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 51.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.09%0.3%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-08-29 16:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-08-29 16:51
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.78%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-08-29 16:40
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.56%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.1%2026-08-29 16:51