A Escola das Odds

Leganés v AD Ceuta FC

Início: 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Leganés (Local)

Previsão 50.66%1.97odd justa
EV -2.74%
Vantagem -1.43%
Kelly -2.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.05%50.69%50.65%52.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.661.831.831.9260.24%54.74%54.64%52.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

AD Ceuta FC (Visitante)

Previsão 22.21%4.50odd justa
EV +1.08%
Vantagem +0.237%
Kelly +0.304%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.47%22.15%22.24%23.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.084.004.5527.78%24.52%25.00%21.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.13%3.69odd justa
EV -3.97%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.40%27.16%27.11%28.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.353.353.5434.72%29.88%29.85%28.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.89%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.25%EV +1.08%E +0.237%K +0.304%G +0.003%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.86%EV -5.87%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 12:20
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.40%EV -6.79%E -3.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.79%EV +1.08%E +0.237%K +0.304%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 12:35
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.40%EV -6.79%E -3.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.79%EV +1.08%E +0.237%K +0.304%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 12:35
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -10.34%E -5.84%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -0.033%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:35
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -10.34%E -5.84%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -0.033%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:34
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -1.14%E -0.257%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -5.60%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 12:34
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.25%E -0.512%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -5.06%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -2.25%E -0.512%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 12:35
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -2.25%E -0.512%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:20
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.01%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.90%EV -2.70%E -0.616%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.09%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 12:04
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.59%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.06%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -5.59%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 09:20
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.32%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.70%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 12:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.70%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.06%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 09:19
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.70%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -13.19%E -4.12%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 12:34
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.35%E -6.48%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -6.70%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 12:34
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.06%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 09:55
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.06%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 07:20
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 09:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:39
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 08:44
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 08:45
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.45%EV -10.03%E -2.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 08:42
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 12:19
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 12:20
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 12:20
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 12:19
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.06%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 12:35
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 08:45
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 06:50
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 12:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.46%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 08:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 09:20
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:20
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:20
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:20
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:20
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.32%EV -12.36%E -7.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.04%EV -12.25%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.64%EV -14.55%E -4.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 12:20
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.08%EV -9.83%E -5.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 22.74%EV -12.92%E -3.30%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.18%EV -11.02%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.34%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 12:19
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 08:45
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:20
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 09:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 06:49
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 06:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 06:50
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -14.47%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -14.47%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.93%EV -10.84%E -6.16%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -16.69%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 08:44
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.40%EV -15.91%E -9.58%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.61%EV -17.80%E -4.81%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.99%EV -15.91%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-21 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -12.36%E -7.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -20.03%E -5.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -21.87%E -7.60%K -11.64%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-21 09:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.8%2026-03-21 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.8%2026-03-21 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.8%2026-03-21 12:35
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.8%2026-03-21 12:30
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.48%1.9%2026-03-21 12:30
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.21%2.1%2026-03-21 12:35