مدرسة الاحتمالات

Leganés v AD Ceuta FC

البداية: 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Leganés (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.66%1.97السعر العادل
EV -2.74%
الأفضلية -1.43%
Kelly -2.97%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.05%50.69%50.65%52.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.661.831.831.9260.24%54.74%54.64%52.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

AD Ceuta FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.21%4.50السعر العادل
EV +1.08%
الأفضلية +0.237%
Kelly +0.304%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.47%22.15%22.24%23.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.084.004.5527.78%24.52%25.00%21.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.13%3.69السعر العادل
EV -3.97%
الأفضلية -1.12%
Kelly -1.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.40%27.16%27.11%28.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.353.353.5434.72%29.88%29.85%28.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.89%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.25%EV +1.08%E +0.237%K +0.304%G +0.003%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.86%EV -5.87%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 12:20
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.40%EV -6.79%E -3.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.79%EV +1.08%E +0.237%K +0.304%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 12:35
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.40%EV -6.79%E -3.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.79%EV +1.08%E +0.237%K +0.304%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 12:35
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -10.34%E -5.84%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -0.033%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:35
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -10.34%E -5.84%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -0.033%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:34
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -1.14%E -0.257%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -5.60%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 12:34
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.25%E -0.512%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -5.06%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -2.25%E -0.512%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 12:35
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -2.25%E -0.512%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:20
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.01%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.90%EV -2.70%E -0.616%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.09%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 12:04
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.59%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.06%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -5.59%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 09:20
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.32%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.70%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 12:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.70%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.06%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 09:19
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.70%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -13.19%E -4.12%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 12:34
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.35%E -6.48%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -6.70%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 12:34
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.06%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 09:55
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.06%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 07:20
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 09:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:39
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 08:44
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 08:45
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.45%EV -10.03%E -2.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 08:42
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 12:19
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 12:20
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 12:20
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.77%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 12:19
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.06%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 12:35
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 08:45
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 06:50
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 12:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.46%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 08:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 09:20
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:20
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:20
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:20
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:20
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.32%EV -12.36%E -7.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.04%EV -12.25%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.64%EV -14.55%E -4.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 12:20
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.08%EV -9.83%E -5.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 22.74%EV -12.92%E -3.30%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.18%EV -11.02%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.34%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 12:19
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 08:45
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:20
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 09:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 06:49
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 06:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 06:50
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -14.47%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -14.47%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.93%EV -10.84%E -6.16%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -16.69%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 08:44
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.40%EV -15.91%E -9.58%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.61%EV -17.80%E -4.81%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.99%EV -15.91%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-21 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -12.36%E -7.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -20.03%E -5.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -21.87%E -7.60%K -11.64%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-21 09:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.8%2026-03-21 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.8%2026-03-21 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.8%2026-03-21 12:35
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.8%2026-03-21 12:30
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.48%1.9%2026-03-21 12:30
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.21%2.1%2026-03-21 12:35