Language:English
Las Palmas v Leganés
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Palmas (Local)
Prediction 46.19%2.16fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.82%46.39%46.06%48.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.971.982.1155.25%50.79%50.51%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leganés (Visit)
Prediction 25.89%3.86fair odd
EV +0.968%
Edge +0.248%
Kelly +0.334%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.62%25.74%25.96%27.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.503.9030.77%28.44%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.92%3.58fair odd
EV +0.501%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.193%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%27.87%27.98%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.333.303.6032.79%30.00%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Palmas (Local): 46.19%; Leganés (Visit): 25.89%; Draw: 27.92%. For Leganés (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.968%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.86%EV -2.53%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV +0.968%E +0.248%K +0.334%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV +0.968%E +0.248%K +0.334%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV +0.968%E +0.248%K +0.334%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV +0.968%E +0.248%K +0.334%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -12.23%E -6.44%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV +0.968%E +0.248%K +0.334%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 05:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.62%E -0.426%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.18%EV -3.92%E -1.88%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.89%EV -3.95%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.92%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.59%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.52%EV -12.90%E -4.13%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 14:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV +0.501%E +0.139%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -7.32%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.895%E -0.252%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.895%E -0.252%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.895%E -0.252%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.895%E -0.252%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.895%E -0.252%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -9.46%E -4.83%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -8.07%E -4.06%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -8.54%E -4.31%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 14:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.54%E -4.31%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.79%EV -12.69%E -6.72%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.70%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -14.85%E -4.87%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -13.16%E -7.00%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -13.16%E -7.00%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -13.16%E -7.00%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.31%EV -16.39%E -9.05%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%EV -15.86%E -4.88%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.68% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.91% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |