语言:简体中文
Las Palmas v Leganés
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Las Palmas (主队)
预测 46.19%2.16公平赔率
EV -2.53%
优势 -1.20%
Kelly -2.28%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.11
博彩公司预测分布
44.82%46.39%46.06%48.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.811.971.982.1155.25%50.79%50.51%47.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
Leganés (客队)
预测 25.89%3.86公平赔率
EV +0.968%
优势 +0.248%
Kelly +0.334%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 3.90
博彩公司预测分布
23.62%25.74%25.96%27.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.523.503.9030.77%28.44%28.57%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.92%3.58公平赔率
EV +0.501%
优势 +0.139%
Kelly +0.193%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
26.09%27.87%27.98%29.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.333.303.6032.79%30.00%30.30%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Las Palmas (主队)：46.19%；Leganés (客队)：25.89%；平局：27.92%。 对于“Leganés (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.86。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.90，对应+0.968%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.86%EV -2.53%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV +0.968%E +0.248%K +0.334%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV +0.968%E +0.248%K +0.334%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV +0.968%E +0.248%K +0.334%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV +0.968%E +0.248%K +0.334%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -12.23%E -6.44%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV +0.968%E +0.248%K +0.334%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 05:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.62%E -0.426%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.18%EV -3.92%E -1.88%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.89%EV -3.95%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.92%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.59%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.52%EV -12.90%E -4.13%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 14:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV +0.501%E +0.139%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -7.32%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.895%E -0.252%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.895%E -0.252%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.895%E -0.252%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.895%E -0.252%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.895%E -0.252%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -9.46%E -4.83%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -8.07%E -4.06%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -8.54%E -4.31%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 14:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.54%E -4.31%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.79%EV -12.69%E -6.72%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.70%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -14.85%E -4.87%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -13.16%E -7.00%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -13.16%E -7.00%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -13.16%E -7.00%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.31%EV -16.39%E -9.05%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%EV -15.86%E -4.88%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.68% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.91% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |