Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Las Palmas v Leganés

Inizio: 2026-09-04 18:30 UTC

Finale: Las Palmas 0–0 Leganés

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Las Palmas (Casa)

Previsione 46.19%2.16quota equa
EV -2.53%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.82%46.39%46.06%48.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.811.971.982.1155.25%50.79%50.51%47.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Leganés (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.89%3.86quota equa
EV +0.968%
Vantaggio +0.248%
Kelly +0.334%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.62%25.74%25.96%27.16%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.523.503.9030.77%28.44%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.92%3.58quota equa
EV +0.501%
Vantaggio +0.139%
Kelly +0.193%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.09%27.87%27.98%29.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.333.303.6032.79%30.00%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Las Palmas (Casa): 46.19%; Leganés (Trasferta): 25.89%; Pareggio: 27.92%. Per Leganés (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.86. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.90, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.968%.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.86%EV -2.53%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV +0.968%E +0.248%K +0.334%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-04 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV +0.968%E +0.248%K +0.334%G +0.003%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV +0.968%E +0.248%K +0.334%G +0.003%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:24
BetAnything🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV +0.968%E +0.248%K +0.334%G +0.003%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -12.23%E -6.44%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV +0.968%E +0.248%K +0.334%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 05:25
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.62%E -0.426%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:24
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.18%EV -3.92%E -1.88%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.89%EV -3.95%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.92%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:23
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.59%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.52%EV -12.90%E -4.13%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:28
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV +0.501%E +0.139%K +0.193%G +0.001%5.6%2026-09-04 14:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:15
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:30
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.916%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 14:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 09:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -7.32%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.895%E -0.252%K -0.351%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 09:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.895%E -0.252%K -0.351%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 09:50
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.895%E -0.252%K -0.351%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 09:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.895%E -0.252%K -0.351%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.895%E -0.252%K -0.351%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 09:50
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -9.46%E -4.83%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:19
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:15
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.916%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 14:15
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 14:24
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -8.07%E -4.06%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -8.54%E -4.31%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:24
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 14:25
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 14:23
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 14:24
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.54%E -4.31%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 14:20
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 09:50
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 09:50
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 09:49
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 09:50
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 14:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.79%EV -12.69%E -6.72%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.70%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -14.85%E -4.87%K -7.25%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-04 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -13.16%E -7.00%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -13.16%E -7.00%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -13.16%E -7.00%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 09:50
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 14:24
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 14:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 47.31%EV -16.39%E -9.05%K -20.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%EV -15.86%E -4.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-04 09:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-09-04 14:25
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.91%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-09-04 14:30
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.0%2026-09-04 14:35